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Crowd intelligence · Friday, August 14, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 10%NO 90%

Trump officials ask Supreme Court to let ballroom construction continue - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
YES 22%NO 78%

OpenAI talent exodus raises 'huge red flag' ahead of IPO - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

NATO jets shoot down drone over Latvia - politico.eu

View on Polymarket →
Science
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 15?
YES 38%NO 62%

FDA upgrades recall of 19 million eggs to highest risk level for Salmonella poisoning - WPEC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES 9%NO 91%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 17%NO 83%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 17%NO 83%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 24%NO 76%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.