Live
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures waver ahead of retail earnings - Yahoo Finance Yahoo FinanceHouse of the Dragon Season 4 Needs to Let Alicent Be Alicent denofgeek.comAsian Refiners Ask to Pick Up Saudi Oil Outside Risky Red Sea gcaptain.comBioLargo Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results ; Revenue Up 12 % Sequentially , ... pr-inside.comSame knee surgery , twice the price : Hospital monopolies push up healthcare costs sentinelandenterprise.comШкольников , победивших на международной олимпиаде по информатике IOI , позвали работать в Сбер sia.ruIran has set a deadline of a few weeks for full implementation of the MOU investinglive.comTrump envoy discusses Gaza plan with Netanyahu yasstribune.com.auEurovision 2027 : Τέλος στην τηλεφωνική ψηφοφορία – Υποχρεωτική η επιλογή 3 χωρών inewsgr.comNo summer off for Saudi Arabia next generation of female leaders arabnews.comiPhone 18 , Apple potrebbe rinviare al 2027 la versione base gds.itScottish Labour stuck in the past says Lennon as she fails to make ballot theboltonnews.co.ukSK Hynix setzt auf den nächsten KI - Schub wallstreet-online.deHeidelbeer - Quark - Torte ohne Backen : Rezept mit frischen Beeren tz.deStock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures waver ahead of retail earnings - Yahoo Finance Yahoo FinanceHouse of the Dragon Season 4 Needs to Let Alicent Be Alicent denofgeek.comAsian Refiners Ask to Pick Up Saudi Oil Outside Risky Red Sea gcaptain.comBioLargo Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results ; Revenue Up 12 % Sequentially , ... pr-inside.comSame knee surgery , twice the price : Hospital monopolies push up healthcare costs sentinelandenterprise.comШкольников , победивших на международной олимпиаде по информатике IOI , позвали работать в Сбер sia.ruIran has set a deadline of a few weeks for full implementation of the MOU investinglive.comTrump envoy discusses Gaza plan with Netanyahu yasstribune.com.auEurovision 2027 : Τέλος στην τηλεφωνική ψηφοφορία – Υποχρεωτική η επιλογή 3 χωρών inewsgr.comNo summer off for Saudi Arabia next generation of female leaders arabnews.comiPhone 18 , Apple potrebbe rinviare al 2027 la versione base gds.itScottish Labour stuck in the past says Lennon as she fails to make ballot theboltonnews.co.ukSK Hynix setzt auf den nächsten KI - Schub wallstreet-online.deHeidelbeer - Quark - Torte ohne Backen : Rezept mit frischen Beeren tz.de
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Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 17, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
YES 7%NO 93%

Trump’s Overture to Kim Jong-un Strains Alliance With South Korea - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

Starship's 33 engines push down with 74,400 kilonewtons at liftoff — roughly twice the force of the Saturn V that sent humans to the Moon, yet the whole vehicle is designed to be caught like a falling pencil and flown again the next day - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
YES 50%NO 50%

Thousands in Indonesia await aid after quake kills 68, overshadowing Independence Day - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 12%NO 88%

Supreme Court turns away Trump’s latest bid to block E. Jean Carroll award - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

House of the Dragon Season 4 Needs to Let Alicent Be Alicent

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

House of the Dragon Season 4 Needs to Let Alicent Be Alicent

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 78%NO 22%

Satellite operators are in panic mode due to a worsening launch crisis - Ars Technica

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.