Live
More than 750 U.S. service members wounded in Iran war - The Washington Post The Washington PostTesla and others begin record vehicle recall in China - Reuters ReutersTrump threatens $5bn lawsuit over liberal National Guard policy report - The Guardian The GuardianAlaska plane crash near remote radar site kills all 8 people on board, U.S. military says - CBS News CBS NewsChatGPT On Mac Can Now Read And Respond To Apple iMessages - Engadget EngadgetTrump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News AP NewsSupreme Court temporarily allows Trump ballroom construction to continue - NBC News NBC NewsOne killed, three injured when man attacks Swedish school with sword - Reuters ReutersAlfalfa sprouts recalled for E. coli and salmonella after dozens of illnesses - NBC News NBC NewsAlfalfa sprouts recalled for E. coli and salmonella after illnesses - NBC News NBC NewsDow surges 500 points Friday, but index posts back-to-back weekly losses: Live updates - CNBC CNBCTrump to temporarily ease US beef tariffs, irking cattle producers - Reuters ReutersNavy reportedly weighs renaming aircraft carrier for Trump - The Hill The HillPro Farmer estimates 2026 U.S. corn crop at 15.344 billion bushels; soybeans at 4.572 billion bushels - Pro Farmer Pro FarmerMore than 750 U.S. service members wounded in Iran war - The Washington Post The Washington PostTesla and others begin record vehicle recall in China - Reuters ReutersTrump threatens $5bn lawsuit over liberal National Guard policy report - The Guardian The GuardianAlaska plane crash near remote radar site kills all 8 people on board, U.S. military says - CBS News CBS NewsChatGPT On Mac Can Now Read And Respond To Apple iMessages - Engadget EngadgetTrump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News AP NewsSupreme Court temporarily allows Trump ballroom construction to continue - NBC News NBC NewsOne killed, three injured when man attacks Swedish school with sword - Reuters ReutersAlfalfa sprouts recalled for E. coli and salmonella after dozens of illnesses - NBC News NBC NewsAlfalfa sprouts recalled for E. coli and salmonella after illnesses - NBC News NBC NewsDow surges 500 points Friday, but index posts back-to-back weekly losses: Live updates - CNBC CNBCTrump to temporarily ease US beef tariffs, irking cattle producers - Reuters ReutersNavy reportedly weighs renaming aircraft carrier for Trump - The Hill The HillPro Farmer estimates 2026 U.S. corn crop at 15.344 billion bushels; soybeans at 4.572 billion bushels - Pro Farmer Pro Farmer
–
Crowd intelligence · Friday, August 21, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 16%NO 84%

Key European leaders demand Israel halt West Bank settlement project - Euronews.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
YES 64%NO 36%

Trump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Why Dubai may be vital to the Trump administration's economic war on Iran - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?
YES 48%NO 52%

Why Dubai may be vital to the Trump administration's economic war on Iran - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
YES 30%NO 70%

Trump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will Engenheiro Thulio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Trump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 15%NO 85%

Trump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Trump loyalist Ed Martin is leaving the Justice Department to focus on election ‘legal battles’ - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.