Live
Live updates: US set to unveil ‘economic D-Day’ sanctions on Iran - CNN CNNThai prime minister meets security chiefs after coordinated attacks in 3 southern provinces - AP News AP NewsSean Grayson, former Sangamon County deputy convicted in killing of Sonya Massey, dies in prison, attorney says - CBS News CBS NewsLindsay Clancy's three child victims forgotten amid crowds of support: mother of six - Fox News Fox NewsFather of sailor aboard USS Abraham Lincoln taken into US immigration detention - Reuters ReutersFast-moving wildfire amid shifting winds threatens Reno, Nevada, forcing thousands to evacuate - AP News AP NewsPSA: Modern Warfare 4's Switch 2 Retail Version Is Apparently A Code-In-A-Box - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeSuspect in Forest Grove quintuple homicide found dead in Washington, Sheriff says - KATU KATUStock futures flat as U.S. and Canada appear headed for trade war - MarketWatch MarketWatchAlibaba plunges after announcing $10.2 billion share placement to fund AI push - CNBC CNBCZelenskyy details rift with Ukraine’s dismissed Defense Minister Fedorov - AP News AP NewsA gas giant 520 light-years away has equatorial atmospheric motion approaching 33,000 kilometres per hour—around 16 times Neptune’s fastest winds. When announced in January 2025, it was the fastest planetary jet stream yet measured, although an even - Space Daily Space DailyUAW Workers Reject Deere’s Contract Extension Offer, Setting Up 2027 Battle - WSJ WSJZelenskyy repeats Ukraine not behind Nord Stream attack - dw.com dw.comLive updates: US set to unveil ‘economic D-Day’ sanctions on Iran - CNN CNNThai prime minister meets security chiefs after coordinated attacks in 3 southern provinces - AP News AP NewsSean Grayson, former Sangamon County deputy convicted in killing of Sonya Massey, dies in prison, attorney says - CBS News CBS NewsLindsay Clancy's three child victims forgotten amid crowds of support: mother of six - Fox News Fox NewsFather of sailor aboard USS Abraham Lincoln taken into US immigration detention - Reuters ReutersFast-moving wildfire amid shifting winds threatens Reno, Nevada, forcing thousands to evacuate - AP News AP NewsPSA: Modern Warfare 4's Switch 2 Retail Version Is Apparently A Code-In-A-Box - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeSuspect in Forest Grove quintuple homicide found dead in Washington, Sheriff says - KATU KATUStock futures flat as U.S. and Canada appear headed for trade war - MarketWatch MarketWatchAlibaba plunges after announcing $10.2 billion share placement to fund AI push - CNBC CNBCZelenskyy details rift with Ukraine’s dismissed Defense Minister Fedorov - AP News AP NewsA gas giant 520 light-years away has equatorial atmospheric motion approaching 33,000 kilometres per hour—around 16 times Neptune’s fastest winds. When announced in January 2025, it was the fastest planetary jet stream yet measured, although an even - Space Daily Space DailyUAW Workers Reject Deere’s Contract Extension Offer, Setting Up 2027 Battle - WSJ WSJZelenskyy repeats Ukraine not behind Nord Stream attack - dw.com dw.com
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Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 24, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
YES 36%NO 64%

Alibaba plunges after announcing $10.2 billion share placement to fund AI push - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
YES 38%NO 62%

Alibaba plunges after announcing $10.2 billion share placement to fund AI push - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%

Alibaba plunges after announcing $10.2 billion share placement to fund AI push - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Live updates: US set to unveil ‘economic D-Day’ sanctions on Iran - CNN

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Live updates: US set to unveil ‘economic D-Day’ sanctions on Iran - CNN

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 24, 2026?
YES 60%NO 40%

Kazakhstan's future after the elections: Russia, EU or China - dw.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Report: Jared Kushner and Democratic leader Jeffries meet with House control at stake in November - PBS

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Puyallup family seeks stolen Nintendo game collection valued up to $100,000 - king5.com

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.