Live
The Trump Intervention That Got the DOJ Off Live Nation’s Back - WSJ WSJStock Market Today: Dow rises but S&P 500, Nasdaq open lower; Treasury yields dip with eyes on Bessent, Jackson Hole - MarketWatch MarketWatchA New ‘GTA 6’ Nudist Town Leak Is Stunning, And Lucia Spoilers Are Next - Forbes ForbesU.S. Says Oil Is Pouring Through Hormuz. Trackers Can’t Find It. - WSJ WSJProtesting PS5 Players Now Plan Permanent Blackout, Meaning No GTA 6 or Wolverine - Push Square Push SquareEuropean leaders mark Ukraine’s 35th Independence Day as Russian invasion pushes on - AP News AP NewsIran War Updates: U.S. to unveil new sanctions Trump said would hit Iran with an "economic D-Day" - CBS News CBS NewsWhy closing your ‘loops’ may boost your energy and clear your mind - CNN CNNPartial lunar eclipse Aug. 27-28 live updates: 3 days to go, here's what you need to know - Space SpaceU.S. Trade Rep Greer blames Canada for failed tariff talks: 'They wanted more' - CNBC CNBCFDA Approves Alzheimer’s Blood Test Developed by Roche and Eli Lilly - WSJ WSJBond market anxiety raises stakes for Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech - Reuters ReutersNvidia and Warsh Will Test a Stock Market That’s in Mid-Rotation - Bloomberg BloombergNew Zealand moves to ban children under 16 from social media - BBC BBCThe Trump Intervention That Got the DOJ Off Live Nation’s Back - WSJ WSJStock Market Today: Dow rises but S&P 500, Nasdaq open lower; Treasury yields dip with eyes on Bessent, Jackson Hole - MarketWatch MarketWatchA New ‘GTA 6’ Nudist Town Leak Is Stunning, And Lucia Spoilers Are Next - Forbes ForbesU.S. Says Oil Is Pouring Through Hormuz. Trackers Can’t Find It. - WSJ WSJProtesting PS5 Players Now Plan Permanent Blackout, Meaning No GTA 6 or Wolverine - Push Square Push SquareEuropean leaders mark Ukraine’s 35th Independence Day as Russian invasion pushes on - AP News AP NewsIran War Updates: U.S. to unveil new sanctions Trump said would hit Iran with an "economic D-Day" - CBS News CBS NewsWhy closing your ‘loops’ may boost your energy and clear your mind - CNN CNNPartial lunar eclipse Aug. 27-28 live updates: 3 days to go, here's what you need to know - Space SpaceU.S. Trade Rep Greer blames Canada for failed tariff talks: 'They wanted more' - CNBC CNBCFDA Approves Alzheimer’s Blood Test Developed by Roche and Eli Lilly - WSJ WSJBond market anxiety raises stakes for Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech - Reuters ReutersNvidia and Warsh Will Test a Stock Market That’s in Mid-Rotation - Bloomberg BloombergNew Zealand moves to ban children under 16 from social media - BBC BBC
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Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 24, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Iran War Updates: U.S. to unveil new sanctions Trump said would hit Iran with an "economic D-Day" - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Science
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
YES 56%NO 44%

China abruptly postpones ambitious Chang’e-7 lunar mission launch - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Nvidia
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YES 90%NO 10%

Nvidia and Warsh Will Test a Stock Market That’s in Mid-Rotation - Bloomberg

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 66%NO 34%

Secret White House bunker undercuts Trump’s ballroom lawsuit, ex-officials say - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%

Secret White House bunker undercuts Trump’s ballroom lawsuit, ex-officials say - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?
YES 14%NO 86%

Exclusive: Anthropic's $2 Trillion Valuation Faces a Reality Check—SPCX Offers a Warning, Wall Street Veteran Says - Benzinga

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Puyallup family seeks stolen Nintendo game collection valued up to $100,000 - KING5.com

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Bessent could tap near $1 trillion Treasury General Account to fund bond buybacks, sources said - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.