Live
Trump administration proposes more than $100K fee for H-1B visas - Politico PoliticoThe ocean just broke a temperature record that may have stood for millennia - The Washington Post The Washington PostStock Market Today: Dow rises but S&P 500, Nasdaq decline; oil prices dip after 'Operation Outcast' against Iran was announced - MarketWatch MarketWatchInaudible sounds used to fingerprint browsers catch AliExpress red handed - Ars Technica Ars TechnicaWoman and her 2-year-old daughter killed by lightning in Florida - The Washington Post The Washington PostHere’s How Scientists Turned Plastic Bottles Into Nutritious Cookies - Forbes ForbesCalifornia AG Calls Off Paramount-Warner Bros. Meeting, Accusing Company of “Playing Games” - The Hollywood Reporter The Hollywood ReporterTrump Threatens New 50% Tariffs on Cars, Trucks and Steel as U.S.-Canada Trade War Unfolds - The New York Times The New York TimesTech drags S&P 500, Nasdaq lower as more Iran sanctions, Nvidia earnings loom - Reuters ReutersTrump's Kim gambit deepens doubts over US reliability at a key moment for Asia - Reuters ReutersNevada wildfire expected to burn for 48 hours and may spread further, officials say - BBC BBCAs El Niño Dries Indonesia, Wildfires Intensify - The New York Times The New York TimesCult 16-Bit RPG Makes Its Official US Debut in 2027 on PS5 - Push Square Push SquareInstinct’s powerful AI assistant is raising privacy and security concerns - TechCrunch TechCrunchTrump administration proposes more than $100K fee for H-1B visas - Politico PoliticoThe ocean just broke a temperature record that may have stood for millennia - The Washington Post The Washington PostStock Market Today: Dow rises but S&P 500, Nasdaq decline; oil prices dip after 'Operation Outcast' against Iran was announced - MarketWatch MarketWatchInaudible sounds used to fingerprint browsers catch AliExpress red handed - Ars Technica Ars TechnicaWoman and her 2-year-old daughter killed by lightning in Florida - The Washington Post The Washington PostHere’s How Scientists Turned Plastic Bottles Into Nutritious Cookies - Forbes ForbesCalifornia AG Calls Off Paramount-Warner Bros. Meeting, Accusing Company of “Playing Games” - The Hollywood Reporter The Hollywood ReporterTrump Threatens New 50% Tariffs on Cars, Trucks and Steel as U.S.-Canada Trade War Unfolds - The New York Times The New York TimesTech drags S&P 500, Nasdaq lower as more Iran sanctions, Nvidia earnings loom - Reuters ReutersTrump's Kim gambit deepens doubts over US reliability at a key moment for Asia - Reuters ReutersNevada wildfire expected to burn for 48 hours and may spread further, officials say - BBC BBCAs El Niño Dries Indonesia, Wildfires Intensify - The New York Times The New York TimesCult 16-Bit RPG Makes Its Official US Debut in 2027 on PS5 - Push Square Push SquareInstinct’s powerful AI assistant is raising privacy and security concerns - TechCrunch TechCrunch
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Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 24, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Nvidia senior manager linked to Supermicro scheme smuggling AI servers to China - Ars Technica

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Apple
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on August 25?
YES 5%NO 95%

Big Apple targeted in lawsuits over Mamdani's government grocery store plans - Fox Business

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Puyallup family seeks stolen Nintendo game collection valued up to $100,000 - KING5.com

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Nvidia
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YES 88%NO 12%

Nvidia and Warsh Will Test a Stock Market That’s in Mid-Rotation - Bloomberg.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 71%NO 29%

Bessent threatens new Iran secondary sanctions, says Trump asking world leaders to cooperate - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%

Bessent threatens new Iran secondary sanctions, says Trump asking world leaders to cooperate - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Iran-linked hackers blamed for taking down U.K. power plant for first time, reports say - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Science
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?
YES 17%NO 83%

The ocean just broke a temperature record that may have stood for millennia - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.