Live
Why Treasury Yields Are Rising, and What That Means for the Economy - The New York Times The New York TimesUAE says it is suspending trade with Iran after missile launch - The Washington Post The Washington PostU.S. conducting stealth operation to transport oil through Hormuz - Axios AxiosTrump picks Dr. Heidi Overton, a top White House aide, to lead the Food and Drug Administration - AP News AP NewsDefense minister dismissed by Zelensky demands elections in Ukraine - The Washington Post The Washington PostUS debt crosses $40 trillion threshold after doubling under Trump and Biden - Reuters ReutersStock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher, Bond Yields Dive After Treasury Steps Up Buybacks — Live Updates - WSJ WSJBefore-and-after images show where SpaceX rocket crashed into the moon - The Washington Post The Washington PostWhistleblower Arturo Béjar leads testimony in landmark trial against Meta - NPR NPRIsraeli military launches criminal probes into killings of Hind Rajab and Palestinian paramedics - AP News AP NewsDecision On Paramount's $1.88B Merger Bond Now Close To Ticking Fee Start Date - Deadline DeadlineTrump backed down from 50 percent tariffs on Canada. It’s not a TACO. - Politico PoliticoRescue mission is called off for NASA’s aging Swift space telescope - AP News AP NewsClarity Act Vote Set, SEC Proposes Crypto Rules Ahead Of White House Summit - Investor's Business Daily Investor's Business DailyWhy Treasury Yields Are Rising, and What That Means for the Economy - The New York Times The New York TimesUAE says it is suspending trade with Iran after missile launch - The Washington Post The Washington PostU.S. conducting stealth operation to transport oil through Hormuz - Axios AxiosTrump picks Dr. Heidi Overton, a top White House aide, to lead the Food and Drug Administration - AP News AP NewsDefense minister dismissed by Zelensky demands elections in Ukraine - The Washington Post The Washington PostUS debt crosses $40 trillion threshold after doubling under Trump and Biden - Reuters ReutersStock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher, Bond Yields Dive After Treasury Steps Up Buybacks — Live Updates - WSJ WSJBefore-and-after images show where SpaceX rocket crashed into the moon - The Washington Post The Washington PostWhistleblower Arturo Béjar leads testimony in landmark trial against Meta - NPR NPRIsraeli military launches criminal probes into killings of Hind Rajab and Palestinian paramedics - AP News AP NewsDecision On Paramount's $1.88B Merger Bond Now Close To Ticking Fee Start Date - Deadline DeadlineTrump backed down from 50 percent tariffs on Canada. It’s not a TACO. - Politico PoliticoRescue mission is called off for NASA’s aging Swift space telescope - AP News AP NewsClarity Act Vote Set, SEC Proposes Crypto Rules Ahead Of White House Summit - Investor's Business Daily Investor's Business Daily
Crowd intelligence · Wednesday, August 19, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

NASA's Dragonfly rotorcraft will launch on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy in July 2028 and spend six and a half years crossing the solar system to land on a moon that has weather, seasons, rivers and seas — with methane and ethane flowing across its surface inste - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?
YES 88%NO 12%

Who is Natalie Harp, Trump's right-hand woman? - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

‘Very special stone’: Trump unveils another White House construction project - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
YES 26%NO 74%

‘Very special stone’: Trump unveils another White House construction project - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 38%NO 62%

‘Very special stone’: Trump unveils another White House construction project - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 15%NO 85%

‘Very special stone’: Trump unveils another White House construction project - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NBA
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 13%NO 87%

NBA 2K27 Just Rewrote The Sports Game Story Mode - GameSpot

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Blanch vs. Harris: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
YES 32%NO 68%

Mattel Brick Shop Announces 1:1-Scale, 3,509-Piece Original Xbox, Complete With Scenes from 3 Games - IGN

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.