Live
US-Canada trade war escalates as Trump threatens tariff hike on autos after Carney vows to retaliate - BBC BBCSupreme Court gives Trump an interim win on his mail voting order, but hurdles loom - NPR NPRGTA 6 Cyberleek update: All leaks released Monday and over the weekend - Mashable MashableTrump’s Arctic saber-rattling boosts Iceland’s pro-EU campaign - politico.eu politico.euSpellbinds - The New York Times The New York TimesUS plans to revoke business, tourism visas of 200,000 asylum seekers - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraU.S. withdraws from military exercises with South Korea set for next month - The Washington Post The Washington PostIran War Updates: U.S. unveils new sanctions after Trump threatened "economic D-Day" - CBS News CBS NewsCastlevania: Belmont's Curse Reveals English Voice Cast In New Trailer - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeFirefighters make progress against a Nevada wildfire that’s destroyed more than 30 homes - AP News AP NewsStock futures are flat as investors await Nvidia earnings, inflation report due later this week: Live updates - CNBC CNBCMotorola's 2027 flagships will officially support GrapheneOS - GSMArena.com news - GSMArena.com GSMArena.comMassachusetts woman suspected of killing police officer husband found dead - The Guardian The GuardianGang coalition unleashes violent new attack on farming community in Haiti - AP News AP NewsUS-Canada trade war escalates as Trump threatens tariff hike on autos after Carney vows to retaliate - BBC BBCSupreme Court gives Trump an interim win on his mail voting order, but hurdles loom - NPR NPRGTA 6 Cyberleek update: All leaks released Monday and over the weekend - Mashable MashableTrump’s Arctic saber-rattling boosts Iceland’s pro-EU campaign - politico.eu politico.euSpellbinds - The New York Times The New York TimesUS plans to revoke business, tourism visas of 200,000 asylum seekers - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraU.S. withdraws from military exercises with South Korea set for next month - The Washington Post The Washington PostIran War Updates: U.S. unveils new sanctions after Trump threatened "economic D-Day" - CBS News CBS NewsCastlevania: Belmont's Curse Reveals English Voice Cast In New Trailer - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeFirefighters make progress against a Nevada wildfire that’s destroyed more than 30 homes - AP News AP NewsStock futures are flat as investors await Nvidia earnings, inflation report due later this week: Live updates - CNBC CNBCMotorola's 2027 flagships will officially support GrapheneOS - GSMArena.com news - GSMArena.com GSMArena.comMassachusetts woman suspected of killing police officer husband found dead - The Guardian The GuardianGang coalition unleashes violent new attack on farming community in Haiti - AP News AP News
–
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 25, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Near-complete 860+ NES game collection stolen, after nearly 40 years of collecting - Nintendo Wire

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)
YES 48%NO 52%

Near-complete 860+ NES game collection stolen, after nearly 40 years of collecting - Nintendo Wire

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Iran War Updates: U.S. unveils new sanctions after Trump threatened "economic D-Day" - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
YES 75%NO 25%

Supreme Court gives Trump an interim win on his mail voting order, but hurdles loom - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Nvidia's dedicated inference accelerator Groq 3 LPX enters full production to supercharge AI agents - SiliconANGLE

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Apple
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 24 2026?
YES 84%NO 16%

Apple is reportedly preparing iPhone price hikes (because of course they are) - Mashable

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 71%NO 29%

Supreme Court gives Trump an interim win on his mail voting order, but hurdles loom - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%

Supreme Court gives Trump an interim win on his mail voting order, but hurdles loom - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.