Live
Lego posts record first-half revenue, CEO touts strong sales at high-end and value pricing - CNBC CNBCLockerbie bombing trial postponed days before it was due to start - BBC BBCThird drone and suspected explosives found at German airport - Euronews.com Euronews.comPolice kill suspect who shot at employee at Lodi McDonald's, police say - KCRA KCRAFoldable iPhone Ultra testers love the device except for these two things, report says - Mashable MashableBitcoin (BTC) Reaches Three-Month High of $80,000 as Momentum Returns - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comGoogle's clever Android 17 motion sickness feature is finally rolling out - Android Authority Android AuthorityNvidia employee charged with smuggling advanced chips into China - Financial Times Financial TimesAsian shares are mixed and oil prices hold steady as the US raises pressure on Iran - AP News AP NewsStarbucks’ Pumpkin Spice Latte Is Back, Along With 6 All-New Drinks—and We Tried Them First - Allrecipes AllrecipesSupreme Court eases path for Trump’s sweeping limits on mail-in balloting - The Washington Post The Washington PostNvidia shares set for $280 billion price swing after earnings, options show - Reuters ReutersUS set for largest mass visa revocation in history targeting up to 200,000 foreigners, officials say - NPR NPRHow To Watch The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope's Launch - Engadget EngadgetLego posts record first-half revenue, CEO touts strong sales at high-end and value pricing - CNBC CNBCLockerbie bombing trial postponed days before it was due to start - BBC BBCThird drone and suspected explosives found at German airport - Euronews.com Euronews.comPolice kill suspect who shot at employee at Lodi McDonald's, police say - KCRA KCRAFoldable iPhone Ultra testers love the device except for these two things, report says - Mashable MashableBitcoin (BTC) Reaches Three-Month High of $80,000 as Momentum Returns - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comGoogle's clever Android 17 motion sickness feature is finally rolling out - Android Authority Android AuthorityNvidia employee charged with smuggling advanced chips into China - Financial Times Financial TimesAsian shares are mixed and oil prices hold steady as the US raises pressure on Iran - AP News AP NewsStarbucks’ Pumpkin Spice Latte Is Back, Along With 6 All-New Drinks—and We Tried Them First - Allrecipes AllrecipesSupreme Court eases path for Trump’s sweeping limits on mail-in balloting - The Washington Post The Washington PostNvidia shares set for $280 billion price swing after earnings, options show - Reuters ReutersUS set for largest mass visa revocation in history targeting up to 200,000 foreigners, officials say - NPR NPRHow To Watch The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope's Launch - Engadget Engadget
–
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 25, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 71%NO 29%

Supreme Court eases path for Trump’s sweeping limits on mail-in balloting - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on August 28, 2026?
YES 31%NO 69%

Japan's PM is barely sleeping and rarely leaving her office in the name of 'efficiency.' Her approval rating disagrees - Fortune

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%

Trump’s trade war with Canada could rattle economies in states with key Senate races - AP News

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Exclusive | Iran hacks reveal weak spot on US, UK water, power grids as regime aims to maximize disruption: expert - New York Post

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YES 7%NO 93%

Leaked Microsoft pay data shows how much hundreds of employees report making in AI, cloud, and other teams - Business Insider

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Near-complete 860+ NES game collection stolen, after nearly 40 years of collecting - Nintendo Wire

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 18%NO 82%

Gary residents turn to prayer as power outage stretches into third week - WFYI

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
YES 57%NO 43%

Near-complete 860+ NES game collection stolen, after nearly 40 years of collecting - Nintendo Wire

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.