Live
Trump secretly switched planes. The journalists left aboard say they deserved a warning. - The Washington Post The Washington PostMultiple shooters and people shot at Virginia State University - AP News AP NewsLive updates: US-Iran war; Trump says he ‘did the right thing’ and would ‘never apologize’ - CNN CNNJason Arday, former Cambridge professor, dies week after resigning amid plagiarism allegations - CBS News CBS NewsI drove Tesla FSD, Rivian Autonomy+ ‘hands-free’ driving systems. Here’s how they compare - CNBC CNBCTwo powerful earthquakes hit Indonesia in one day, killing at least 38 - CBS News CBS NewsMagnitude-7.7 quake hits off coast of Indonesia, killing at least 38 - NBC News NBC NewsWhile Taliban leaders mark 5 years in power in Afghanistan, a UN official warns of a rights crisis - AP News AP NewsJason Arday death 'tragedy on so many levels' says PM - BBC BBCHow $600B of Biden’s clean energy funding escaped Trump’s cuts - Politico PoliticoIran rejects ‘delusions’ after Trump says he wants the Strait of Hormuz to be a U.S. territory - NBC News NBC NewsIran targets tankers in ‘unprovoked attacks’ in Strait of Hormuz, UAE says - Fox News Fox NewsStripe Is Reportedly In Talks To Buy PayPal - Engadget EngadgetFord's Most Sinister Mustang Loses Its Roof But Keeps The Supercharged V8 - Motor1.com Motor1.comTrump secretly switched planes. The journalists left aboard say they deserved a warning. - The Washington Post The Washington PostMultiple shooters and people shot at Virginia State University - AP News AP NewsLive updates: US-Iran war; Trump says he ‘did the right thing’ and would ‘never apologize’ - CNN CNNJason Arday, former Cambridge professor, dies week after resigning amid plagiarism allegations - CBS News CBS NewsI drove Tesla FSD, Rivian Autonomy+ ‘hands-free’ driving systems. Here’s how they compare - CNBC CNBCTwo powerful earthquakes hit Indonesia in one day, killing at least 38 - CBS News CBS NewsMagnitude-7.7 quake hits off coast of Indonesia, killing at least 38 - NBC News NBC NewsWhile Taliban leaders mark 5 years in power in Afghanistan, a UN official warns of a rights crisis - AP News AP NewsJason Arday death 'tragedy on so many levels' says PM - BBC BBCHow $600B of Biden’s clean energy funding escaped Trump’s cuts - Politico PoliticoIran rejects ‘delusions’ after Trump says he wants the Strait of Hormuz to be a U.S. territory - NBC News NBC NewsIran targets tankers in ‘unprovoked attacks’ in Strait of Hormuz, UAE says - Fox News Fox NewsStripe Is Reportedly In Talks To Buy PayPal - Engadget EngadgetFord's Most Sinister Mustang Loses Its Roof But Keeps The Supercharged V8 - Motor1.com Motor1.com
Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 15, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%

David Tepper’s Appaloosa sells AI memory stocks while loading up on Magnificent Seven in the second quarter - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES 24%NO 76%

Iran targets tankers in ‘unprovoked attacks’ in Strait of Hormuz, UAE says - Fox News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
YES 36%NO 64%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES 8%NO 92%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 20%NO 80%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 21%NO 79%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.