Live
What’s behind the bond market roller coaster? - The Washington Post The Washington PostStock Market Today: Bessent Signals Treasury Buybacks Could Exceed $4 Billion - WSJ WSJAtlanta mayor pans city’s DNC snub - Politico PoliticoThe Duskbloods' Characters Look Like A Bunch Of Total Doofuses - Kotaku KotakuWoman Arrested in Plot to Detonate Bomb in New York State Capitol - The New York Times The New York TimesNew aircraft carrier arrives in Arabian Sea to replace long-stationed USS Abraham Lincoln - The Washington Post The Washington PostThree things to know about the $40 trillion federal debt - NPR NPRSpeedboat driver in fatal New York Harbor capsizing was in the US illegally, authorities say - AP News AP NewsMortgage rates fall for second consecutive week - Fox Business Fox BusinessSomeone already figured out how to fully control Pixel 11 Pro's 'HiLight' and make it useful [Gallery] - 9to5Google 9to5GoogleUS warns of active cyber threat targeting critical infrastructure - Fox Business Fox BusinessThese Whale Calls Appear to Break Physics, but the Truth Is Even Weirder - Gizmodo GizmodoStarbucks to layoff 224 employees, including workers who declined Nashville move - KING5.com KING5.comRussian missile barrage kills at least 16 people in Ukraine’s Kyiv - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraWhat’s behind the bond market roller coaster? - The Washington Post The Washington PostStock Market Today: Bessent Signals Treasury Buybacks Could Exceed $4 Billion - WSJ WSJAtlanta mayor pans city’s DNC snub - Politico PoliticoThe Duskbloods' Characters Look Like A Bunch Of Total Doofuses - Kotaku KotakuWoman Arrested in Plot to Detonate Bomb in New York State Capitol - The New York Times The New York TimesNew aircraft carrier arrives in Arabian Sea to replace long-stationed USS Abraham Lincoln - The Washington Post The Washington PostThree things to know about the $40 trillion federal debt - NPR NPRSpeedboat driver in fatal New York Harbor capsizing was in the US illegally, authorities say - AP News AP NewsMortgage rates fall for second consecutive week - Fox Business Fox BusinessSomeone already figured out how to fully control Pixel 11 Pro's 'HiLight' and make it useful [Gallery] - 9to5Google 9to5GoogleUS warns of active cyber threat targeting critical infrastructure - Fox Business Fox BusinessThese Whale Calls Appear to Break Physics, but the Truth Is Even Weirder - Gizmodo GizmodoStarbucks to layoff 224 employees, including workers who declined Nashville move - KING5.com KING5.comRussian missile barrage kills at least 16 people in Ukraine’s Kyiv - Al Jazeera Al Jazeera
–
Crowd intelligence · Thursday, August 20, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

In China, rocket launches fuel tourism and space-age dreams - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YES 7%NO 93%

Romania destroys marine drone near Neptun Deep gas project, minister says - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will B8 Make a Roster Change before September?
YES 17%NO 83%

Someone already figured out how to fully control Pixel 11 Pro's 'HiLight' and make it useful [Gallery] - 9to5Google

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
YES 90%NO 10%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI
Will Meta (META) close above $520 end of August?
YES 74%NO 26%

Mark Zuckerberg encouraged growth over child safety, ex-Meta executive testifies at trial - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
YES 91%NO 9%

Erin Patterson appeal: Mushroom killer must stay in jail forever for 'truly dreadful' crime, prosecutors say - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 12%NO 88%

Chinese court sentences founder of property developer Evergrande to life in prison - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

White House faces scrutiny over top Trump aide Natalie Harp – live - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.