Live
Defense minister dismissed by Zelensky demands elections in Ukraine - The Washington Post The Washington PostKenya tourist helicopter crash kills seven, including five Americans - Reuters ReutersBefore-and-after images show where SpaceX rocket crashed into the moon - The Washington Post The Washington PostIsraeli military launches criminal probes into killings of Hind Rajab and Palestinian paramedics - AP News AP NewsAlaska U.S. Senate Primary 2026: Live Election Results - The New York Times The New York TimesStock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher, Bond Yields Dive After Treasury Steps Up Buybacks — Live Updates - WSJ WSJThe Topsy-Turvy World of Trump’s Canada Tariffs - The New York Times The New York TimesWhy bond markets are unnerving rich-world politicians - The Economist The EconomistIsrael admits its soldiers fired at car in which Hind Rajab was killed - The Guardian The GuardianFed officials saw need for rate hike if inflation doesn't cool, minutes show - CNBC CNBCUS retail giant receives $1bn boost from tariff refunds - BBC BBCThree more Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries - The Washington Post The Washington PostUnited Arab Emirates suspends trade with Iran after coming under renewed missile fire - AP News AP NewsGTA VI keeps leaking ahead of its gameplay premiere - The Verge The VergeDefense minister dismissed by Zelensky demands elections in Ukraine - The Washington Post The Washington PostKenya tourist helicopter crash kills seven, including five Americans - Reuters ReutersBefore-and-after images show where SpaceX rocket crashed into the moon - The Washington Post The Washington PostIsraeli military launches criminal probes into killings of Hind Rajab and Palestinian paramedics - AP News AP NewsAlaska U.S. Senate Primary 2026: Live Election Results - The New York Times The New York TimesStock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher, Bond Yields Dive After Treasury Steps Up Buybacks — Live Updates - WSJ WSJThe Topsy-Turvy World of Trump’s Canada Tariffs - The New York Times The New York TimesWhy bond markets are unnerving rich-world politicians - The Economist The EconomistIsrael admits its soldiers fired at car in which Hind Rajab was killed - The Guardian The GuardianFed officials saw need for rate hike if inflation doesn't cool, minutes show - CNBC CNBCUS retail giant receives $1bn boost from tariff refunds - BBC BBCThree more Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries - The Washington Post The Washington PostUnited Arab Emirates suspends trade with Iran after coming under renewed missile fire - AP News AP NewsGTA VI keeps leaking ahead of its gameplay premiere - The Verge The Verge
Crowd intelligence · Wednesday, August 19, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

NASA's Dragonfly rotorcraft will launch on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy in July 2028 and spend six and a half years crossing the solar system to land on a moon that has weather, seasons, rivers and seas — with methane and ethane flowing across its surface inste - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NBA
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 13%NO 87%

NBA 2K27 Just Rewrote The Sports Game Story Mode - GameSpot

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?
YES 88%NO 12%

Iran eyes military targets in Europe if Donald Trump escalates war, insiders say - Financial Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 14%NO 86%

Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves Florida Senate race to safely Republican after Nixon win - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 13%NO 87%

Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves Florida Senate race to safely Republican after Nixon win - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 14%NO 86%

Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves Florida Senate race to safely Republican after Nixon win - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will Fidélis Alcântara win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
YES 5%NO 95%

Alaska U.S. Senate Primary 2026: Live Election Results - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?
YES 7%NO 93%

NBA 2K27 Just Rewrote The Sports Game Story Mode - GameSpot

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.