Live
Canada will announce retaliatory tariffs against the United States on Tuesday, official tells AP - AP News AP NewsSupreme Court pauses lower court ruling on Trump's mail voting order as hurdles loom - NPR NPRAbdul El-Sayed distances himself from Hasan Piker’s comments on American Jews - Politico PoliticoTarget apologizes for ‘offensive’ Halloween costume after backlash - The Guardian The GuardianBond market anxiety raises stakes for Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech - Reuters ReutersTrump Lays It on the Line for Darline Graham Ahead of South Carolina Runoff - The New York Times The New York TimesTaiwan charges 9 over illegal AI server exports to China, including Nvidia and Super Micro staffers - PBS PBSKaren Solomon, Massachusetts woman, wanted in death of police officer husband, found dead - CNN CNNLeaked Microsoft pay data shows how much hundreds of employees report making in AI, cloud, and other teams - Business Insider Business InsiderS.E.C. Investigating Near-Implosion of A.I. Hedge Fund - The New York Times The New York TimesIs this double-sided foot massager the key to preventing plantar fasciitis? I tested it for months to find out - CNN CNNLindsay Clancy trial judge denies mistrial request, but reprimands prosecution over witness testimony about religion - CBS News CBS NewsHawk Fire update: Some evacuations downgraded as North Valleys residents await answers - KTVN KTVNAstronomers Think They’ve Found the Best Evidence for Dark Matter Yet - Gizmodo GizmodoCanada will announce retaliatory tariffs against the United States on Tuesday, official tells AP - AP News AP NewsSupreme Court pauses lower court ruling on Trump's mail voting order as hurdles loom - NPR NPRAbdul El-Sayed distances himself from Hasan Piker’s comments on American Jews - Politico PoliticoTarget apologizes for ‘offensive’ Halloween costume after backlash - The Guardian The GuardianBond market anxiety raises stakes for Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech - Reuters ReutersTrump Lays It on the Line for Darline Graham Ahead of South Carolina Runoff - The New York Times The New York TimesTaiwan charges 9 over illegal AI server exports to China, including Nvidia and Super Micro staffers - PBS PBSKaren Solomon, Massachusetts woman, wanted in death of police officer husband, found dead - CNN CNNLeaked Microsoft pay data shows how much hundreds of employees report making in AI, cloud, and other teams - Business Insider Business InsiderS.E.C. Investigating Near-Implosion of A.I. Hedge Fund - The New York Times The New York TimesIs this double-sided foot massager the key to preventing plantar fasciitis? I tested it for months to find out - CNN CNNLindsay Clancy trial judge denies mistrial request, but reprimands prosecution over witness testimony about religion - CBS News CBS NewsHawk Fire update: Some evacuations downgraded as North Valleys residents await answers - KTVN KTVNAstronomers Think They’ve Found the Best Evidence for Dark Matter Yet - Gizmodo Gizmodo
–
Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 24, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Taiwan charges 9 over illegal AI server exports to China, including Nvidia and Super Micro staffers - PBS

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Puyallup family seeks stolen Nintendo game collection valued up to $100,000 - KING5.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
YES 76%NO 24%

Supreme Court pauses lower court ruling on Trump's mail voting order as hurdles loom - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 71%NO 29%

Supreme Court pauses lower court ruling on Trump's mail voting order as hurdles loom - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%

Supreme Court pauses lower court ruling on Trump's mail voting order as hurdles loom - NPR

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Iran-linked hackers blamed for taking down U.K. power plant for first time, reports say - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%

Trump Lays It on the Line for Darline Graham Ahead of South Carolina Runoff - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Science
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 25?
YES 40%NO 60%

World’s oceans hit hottest temperature on record in August - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.