Live
U.S. debt is set to hit $40 trillion, months earlier than expected, as bond yields rise - The Washington Post The Washington PostTrump's crypto company made him $800 million. Now it's a real bank - USA Today USA TodayElection Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesBond Sell-Off Sends Borrowing Costs to Highest Level Since 2007 - The New York Times The New York TimesIran is losing control of the Strait of Hormuz - CNN CNNGTA 6 Gameplay Leak Appears Online Ahead of Official Reveal - Push Square Push SquareU.S.-Iran Updates: Trump says no talks with Iran taking place as standoff over Strait of Hormuz continues - CBS News CBS NewsOpenAI unveils ChatGPT for Teens with stronger guardrails to tackle safety risks - reuters.com reuters.comMinnesota attorney general sues Texas governor to compel extradition of ICE agent for trial - AP News AP NewsWhy Intel, Marvell Stocks Are Dropping After Chip Stocks Enter New Bull Market - Barron's Barron'sIsrael Strikes Air Base in Syria, Drawing Ire From the U.S. - The New York Times The New York TimesThe Moscow region is hit by a drone blitz as Russian missiles kill 10 in a Ukrainian village - AP News AP NewsSuspect in creepy Chucky-style mask wanted on assault in Philadelphia after chasing jogger, police say - NBC News NBC NewsUAE says Iran launched two missiles at it - reuters.com reuters.comU.S. debt is set to hit $40 trillion, months earlier than expected, as bond yields rise - The Washington Post The Washington PostTrump's crypto company made him $800 million. Now it's a real bank - USA Today USA TodayElection Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesBond Sell-Off Sends Borrowing Costs to Highest Level Since 2007 - The New York Times The New York TimesIran is losing control of the Strait of Hormuz - CNN CNNGTA 6 Gameplay Leak Appears Online Ahead of Official Reveal - Push Square Push SquareU.S.-Iran Updates: Trump says no talks with Iran taking place as standoff over Strait of Hormuz continues - CBS News CBS NewsOpenAI unveils ChatGPT for Teens with stronger guardrails to tackle safety risks - reuters.com reuters.comMinnesota attorney general sues Texas governor to compel extradition of ICE agent for trial - AP News AP NewsWhy Intel, Marvell Stocks Are Dropping After Chip Stocks Enter New Bull Market - Barron's Barron'sIsrael Strikes Air Base in Syria, Drawing Ire From the U.S. - The New York Times The New York TimesThe Moscow region is hit by a drone blitz as Russian missiles kill 10 in a Ukrainian village - AP News AP NewsSuspect in creepy Chucky-style mask wanted on assault in Philadelphia after chasing jogger, police say - NBC News NBC NewsUAE says Iran launched two missiles at it - reuters.com reuters.com
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Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

See gorgeous views of the Aug. 12 total solar eclipse captured from space - Space

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

White House officials slam 'Jon Jerkoff' Ossoff after Dem senator’s dig at Trump's 'travel with Natalie' Harp - New York Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

White House officials slam 'Jon Jerkoff' Ossoff after Dem senator’s dig at Trump's 'travel with Natalie' Harp - New York Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
YES 26%NO 74%

White House officials slam 'Jon Jerkoff' Ossoff after Dem senator’s dig at Trump's 'travel with Natalie' Harp - New York Post

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Oregon have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
YES 66%NO 34%

Syria admits holding nuclear material, refuses handover: ‘We have the right to use it’ - Ynetnews

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Notre Dame have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
YES 66%NO 34%

Syria admits holding nuclear material, refuses handover: ‘We have the right to use it’ - Ynetnews

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Why is Russia threatening UK with ‘consequences’ over Ukraine drones? - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 41%NO 59%

Zambia’s President Hakainde Hichilema wins second term - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.