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Markets Rally After U.S. Treasury Tries to Ease Bond Market Stress - The New York Times The New York TimesU.S. military drills with South Korea are cut short after surprise Trump order - NBC News NBC NewsLosses are piling up for Trump-backed candidates - CNN CNNTrump to nominate Heidi Overton to lead the FDA - NBC News NBC NewsMerck and Moderna say cancer vaccine shows promise in preventing recurrence of melanoma - NBC News NBC NewsA Stunning Win for the Left in Florida: 6 Takeaways From Tuesday’s Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesDefense minister dismissed by Zelensky demands elections in Ukraine - The Washington Post The Washington PostUkrainian diver arrested in Croatia over Nord Stream pipeline bombings - The Guardian The GuardianBefore-and-after images show where SpaceX rocket crashed into the moon - The Washington Post The Washington PostU.A.E. Announces Halt to Trade With Iran Amid Trump’s Push To Isolate Tehran - The New York Times The New York TimesGoogle’s Pixel 11 Pro Fold feels like the end of an era - The Verge The VergeZuckerberg lied about concern for child safety, Meta whistleblower testifies at landmark trial - The Guardian The GuardianThis high-speed star is whipping around the black hole in the middle of our galaxy - NPR NPRA New Defense Stock Is Born: Lyntris IPO Set For Wednesday - Investor's Business Daily Investor's Business DailyMarkets Rally After U.S. Treasury Tries to Ease Bond Market Stress - The New York Times The New York TimesU.S. military drills with South Korea are cut short after surprise Trump order - NBC News NBC NewsLosses are piling up for Trump-backed candidates - CNN CNNTrump to nominate Heidi Overton to lead the FDA - NBC News NBC NewsMerck and Moderna say cancer vaccine shows promise in preventing recurrence of melanoma - NBC News NBC NewsA Stunning Win for the Left in Florida: 6 Takeaways From Tuesday’s Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesDefense minister dismissed by Zelensky demands elections in Ukraine - The Washington Post The Washington PostUkrainian diver arrested in Croatia over Nord Stream pipeline bombings - The Guardian The GuardianBefore-and-after images show where SpaceX rocket crashed into the moon - The Washington Post The Washington PostU.A.E. Announces Halt to Trade With Iran Amid Trump’s Push To Isolate Tehran - The New York Times The New York TimesGoogle’s Pixel 11 Pro Fold feels like the end of an era - The Verge The VergeZuckerberg lied about concern for child safety, Meta whistleblower testifies at landmark trial - The Guardian The GuardianThis high-speed star is whipping around the black hole in the middle of our galaxy - NPR NPRA New Defense Stock Is Born: Lyntris IPO Set For Wednesday - Investor's Business Daily Investor's Business Daily
Crowd intelligence · Wednesday, August 19, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 33%NO 67%

NASA's Dragonfly rotorcraft will launch on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy in July 2028 and spend six and a half years crossing the solar system to land on a moon that has weather, seasons, rivers and seas — with methane and ethane flowing across its surface inste - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?
YES 86%NO 14%

50% tariffs on Canadian goods paused 'for a three day period' as Trump says there's a last-minute deal - Yahoo Finance

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NBA
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 13%NO 87%

NBA 2K27 Announces New Gameplay Features in Videos from Global Game Reveal - Bleacher Report

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 38%NO 62%

Byron Donalds Is Favored to Become Florida’s First Black Governor - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 14%NO 86%

U.S. Senate race will have two Dan Sullivans and a Mary Peltola - Alaska Public Media

View on Polymarket →
Science
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?
YES 38%NO 62%

How NASA Engineers Are Keeping the Voyagers Alive - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 38%NO 62%

Zambia President Hakainde Hichilema is declared the winner of a troubled election - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 14%NO 86%

U.S. Senate race will have two Dan Sullivans and a Mary Peltola - Alaska Public Media

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.