Live
Strong 7.7-magnitude earthquake strikes eastern Indonesia, triggering tsunami warning - The Guardian The GuardianJason Arday, Cambridge Professor Accused of Plagiarism, Is Found Dead - The New York Times The New York TimesA father of quantum mechanics, this centenarian still works at Pitt: 'I like doing physics. Why should I retire?' - post-gazette.com post-gazette.comFord's Most Sinister Mustang Loses Its Roof But Keeps The Supercharged V8 - Motor1.com Motor1.comFDA in Mexico a month after linking Taylor Farms to cyclospora outbreak - The Washington Post The Washington PostKalshi Ordered to Cease Most Operations in Washington State - The New York Times The New York TimesUS wants Netanyahu to condemn settler violence in Qusra - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraRussia Campaigned to Derail Moldova’s Pro-Western Government - The New York Times The New York TimesMan, 18, Pleads Guilty to Repeatedly Kicking Sea Lion in California - The New York Times The New York TimesJason Arday, youngest Black professor at Cambridge, found dead at 41 after resignation - PBS PBSAston Martin's Latest Special Supercar Is A V12 Villain - Motor1.com Motor1.comTrump-appointed regulator OKs banking license for Trump-linked crypto firm - Politico PoliticoWhy tech bosses keep sharing their manifestos about AI - BBC BBCF.D.A. Classifies Egg Recall as Class I, for Highest Health Risk - The New York Times The New York TimesStrong 7.7-magnitude earthquake strikes eastern Indonesia, triggering tsunami warning - The Guardian The GuardianJason Arday, Cambridge Professor Accused of Plagiarism, Is Found Dead - The New York Times The New York TimesA father of quantum mechanics, this centenarian still works at Pitt: 'I like doing physics. Why should I retire?' - post-gazette.com post-gazette.comFord's Most Sinister Mustang Loses Its Roof But Keeps The Supercharged V8 - Motor1.com Motor1.comFDA in Mexico a month after linking Taylor Farms to cyclospora outbreak - The Washington Post The Washington PostKalshi Ordered to Cease Most Operations in Washington State - The New York Times The New York TimesUS wants Netanyahu to condemn settler violence in Qusra - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraRussia Campaigned to Derail Moldova’s Pro-Western Government - The New York Times The New York TimesMan, 18, Pleads Guilty to Repeatedly Kicking Sea Lion in California - The New York Times The New York TimesJason Arday, youngest Black professor at Cambridge, found dead at 41 after resignation - PBS PBSAston Martin's Latest Special Supercar Is A V12 Villain - Motor1.com Motor1.comTrump-appointed regulator OKs banking license for Trump-linked crypto firm - Politico PoliticoWhy tech bosses keep sharing their manifestos about AI - BBC BBCF.D.A. Classifies Egg Recall as Class I, for Highest Health Risk - The New York Times The New York Times
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Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 15, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Russia Campaigned to Derail Moldova’s Pro-Western Government - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 10%NO 90%

France's top court blocks social media ban for under-15s - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
YES 62%NO 38%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES 20%NO 80%

Trump says he will declare Strait of Hormuz a US ‘territory’ amid Iran war - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NFL
Will Dalton Kincaid have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YES 22%NO 78%

'Madden NFL 27' sells hyperrealism in EA's goal to make 'a scouting report' for the league - NFL.com

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NFL
Will Cameron Ward have 12.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YES 82%NO 18%

'Madden NFL 27' sells hyperrealism in EA's goal to make 'a scouting report' for the league - NFL.com

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.