Live
Strong 7.7-magnitude earthquake strikes eastern Indonesia, killing two - The Guardian The GuardianStrong 7.7-magnitude earthquake strikes eastern Indonesia, killing at least five - The Guardian The GuardianAston Martin's Latest Special Supercar Is A V12 Villain - Motor1.com Motor1.comFord's Most Sinister Mustang Loses Its Roof But Keeps The Supercharged V8 - Motor1.com Motor1.com6 dead, including shooter, and one critical in mass shooting near Cadillac - The Detroit News The Detroit NewsA father of quantum mechanics, this centenarian still works at Pitt: 'I like doing physics. Why should I retire?' - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette Pittsburgh Post-GazetteFDA upgrades egg recall to highest risk level as salmonella sickens dozens across several states - Fox Business Fox BusinessIran targets tankers in ‘unprovoked attacks’ in Strait of Hormuz, UAE says - Fox News Fox NewsTrump dismisses families’ concerns about USS Abraham Lincoln conditions - The Washington Post The Washington PostLive Updates: Luigi Mangione Pleads Guilty in Federal Court, Admitting to Shooting UHC Executive - nytimes.com nytimes.comJapan’s defense chief visits shrine neighbors see as symbol of Japanese militarism - AP News AP NewsConstruction workers uncover $10 million in gold while building sewer under former brewery - Fox News Fox NewsJason Arday, Cambridge Professor Accused of Plagiarism, Is Found Dead - nytimes.com nytimes.comSwitch Online's DK Challenge Now Offering Physical 39-Card Set Reward - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeStrong 7.7-magnitude earthquake strikes eastern Indonesia, killing two - The Guardian The GuardianStrong 7.7-magnitude earthquake strikes eastern Indonesia, killing at least five - The Guardian The GuardianAston Martin's Latest Special Supercar Is A V12 Villain - Motor1.com Motor1.comFord's Most Sinister Mustang Loses Its Roof But Keeps The Supercharged V8 - Motor1.com Motor1.com6 dead, including shooter, and one critical in mass shooting near Cadillac - The Detroit News The Detroit NewsA father of quantum mechanics, this centenarian still works at Pitt: 'I like doing physics. Why should I retire?' - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette Pittsburgh Post-GazetteFDA upgrades egg recall to highest risk level as salmonella sickens dozens across several states - Fox Business Fox BusinessIran targets tankers in ‘unprovoked attacks’ in Strait of Hormuz, UAE says - Fox News Fox NewsTrump dismisses families’ concerns about USS Abraham Lincoln conditions - The Washington Post The Washington PostLive Updates: Luigi Mangione Pleads Guilty in Federal Court, Admitting to Shooting UHC Executive - nytimes.com nytimes.comJapan’s defense chief visits shrine neighbors see as symbol of Japanese militarism - AP News AP NewsConstruction workers uncover $10 million in gold while building sewer under former brewery - Fox News Fox NewsJason Arday, Cambridge Professor Accused of Plagiarism, Is Found Dead - nytimes.com nytimes.comSwitch Online's DK Challenge Now Offering Physical 39-Card Set Reward - Nintendo Life Nintendo Life
Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 15, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 10%NO 90%

Live Updates: Luigi Mangione Pleads Guilty in Federal Court, Admitting to Shooting UHC Executive - nytimes.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

Trump asks Supreme Court to let White House ballroom construction continue during appeal - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Trump asks Supreme Court to let White House ballroom construction continue during appeal - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz
YES 56%NO 44%

Still Not Sold on Dawnwalker? Dev Presents 'Everything You Need to Know' About the Open World RPG - Push Square

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES 18%NO 82%

Trump says he will declare Strait of Hormuz a US ‘territory’ amid Iran war - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Science
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 15?
YES 16%NO 84%

FDA upgrades egg recall to highest risk level as salmonella sickens dozens across several states - Fox Business

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Russia admits new petrol shortages amid ongoing Ukrainian strikes - Euronews.com

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will FURIA Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Still Not Sold on Dawnwalker? Dev Presents 'Everything You Need to Know' About the Open World RPG - Push Square

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.