Live
How to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostLuigi Mangione pleads guilty in federal case, admits shooting UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson - CBS News CBS NewsSuper Mario 64 is now playable on YouTube - Dexerto Dexerto2 powerful earthquakes hit Indonesia in one day, killing at least 47 - CBS News CBS NewsJason Arday, ex-Cambridge professor accused of plagiarism, found dead a week after resigning - NBC News NBC NewsSouth Korea proposes talks to officially end war with North - BBC BBCAOC says she's been saving up to freeze her eggs. Here's how much the procedure can cost - CNBC CNBCFive wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, multiple suspects - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraLarry Ellison’s $100 Billion Fall From 2nd Richest - Forbes ForbesTrump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico PoliticoJason Arday death 'tragedy on so many levels' says PM - BBC BBCWhile Taliban leaders mark 5 years in power in Afghanistan, a UN official warns of a rights crisis - AP News AP NewsIsraeli strikes kill nine in southern Lebanon as attacks intensify - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraFamily stranded at sea for 16 hours after jet ski capsized in Thailand - BBC BBCHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostLuigi Mangione pleads guilty in federal case, admits shooting UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson - CBS News CBS NewsSuper Mario 64 is now playable on YouTube - Dexerto Dexerto2 powerful earthquakes hit Indonesia in one day, killing at least 47 - CBS News CBS NewsJason Arday, ex-Cambridge professor accused of plagiarism, found dead a week after resigning - NBC News NBC NewsSouth Korea proposes talks to officially end war with North - BBC BBCAOC says she's been saving up to freeze her eggs. Here's how much the procedure can cost - CNBC CNBCFive wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, multiple suspects - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraLarry Ellison’s $100 Billion Fall From 2nd Richest - Forbes ForbesTrump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico PoliticoJason Arday death 'tragedy on so many levels' says PM - BBC BBCWhile Taliban leaders mark 5 years in power in Afghanistan, a UN official warns of a rights crisis - AP News AP NewsIsraeli strikes kill nine in southern Lebanon as attacks intensify - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraFamily stranded at sea for 16 hours after jet ski capsized in Thailand - BBC BBC
–
Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 15, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Trump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 19%NO 81%

Trump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 20%NO 80%

Trump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?
YES 42%NO 58%

IDF troops stood by as West Bank settlers besieged Palestinian homes - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Nigel Farage beats Count Binface to win back seat in Parliament in widely mocked election - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Trump changed Republican economics. Now the GOP has to figure out how to sell it. - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.