Live
China Sentences Evergrande Founder to Life in Prison - The New York Times The New York Times2027 Genesis GV90 Debuts As A Flagship SUV With Coach Doors - Motor1.com Motor1.comRussian forces kill 9 in Ukraine as Zelenskyy faces pressure over elections - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraU.S. debt hits $40 trillion faster than forecasters expected - The Washington Post The Washington PostTrump joins leaders of crypto companies in push for industry-backed bill - The Washington Post The Washington PostTrump announces ‘most crushing economic operation ever’ against Iran - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraIsraeli military launches criminal probes into killings of Hind Rajab and Palestinian paramedics - AP News AP NewsWalmart will report second-quarter earnings before the bell. Here's what to expect - CNBC CNBCPilot killed, 2 Pa. State Police troopers injured in midair crash at Carlisle Airport - 6abc Philadelphia 6abc PhiladelphiaU.S. conducting stealth operation to transport oil through Hormuz - Axios AxiosZomi Frankcom: Australia 'outraged' after Israeli decision not to prosecute over killing of aid worker in Gaza - BBC BBCCanada and US say they are finalising a trade deal - BBC BBCTrump’s Plan to Squeeze Iran’s Economy Will Live or Die in Dubai - wsj.com wsj.comMissouri Judge Says Redrawn Congressional Map May Be Used in Midterms - The New York Times The New York TimesChina Sentences Evergrande Founder to Life in Prison - The New York Times The New York Times2027 Genesis GV90 Debuts As A Flagship SUV With Coach Doors - Motor1.com Motor1.comRussian forces kill 9 in Ukraine as Zelenskyy faces pressure over elections - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraU.S. debt hits $40 trillion faster than forecasters expected - The Washington Post The Washington PostTrump joins leaders of crypto companies in push for industry-backed bill - The Washington Post The Washington PostTrump announces ‘most crushing economic operation ever’ against Iran - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraIsraeli military launches criminal probes into killings of Hind Rajab and Palestinian paramedics - AP News AP NewsWalmart will report second-quarter earnings before the bell. Here's what to expect - CNBC CNBCPilot killed, 2 Pa. State Police troopers injured in midair crash at Carlisle Airport - 6abc Philadelphia 6abc PhiladelphiaU.S. conducting stealth operation to transport oil through Hormuz - Axios AxiosZomi Frankcom: Australia 'outraged' after Israeli decision not to prosecute over killing of aid worker in Gaza - BBC BBCCanada and US say they are finalising a trade deal - BBC BBCTrump’s Plan to Squeeze Iran’s Economy Will Live or Die in Dubai - wsj.com wsj.comMissouri Judge Says Redrawn Congressional Map May Be Used in Midterms - The New York Times The New York Times
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Crowd intelligence · Thursday, August 20, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 31%NO 69%

A SpaceX rocket slammed into the moon this month — and a NASA spacecraft has spotted its lunar grave (photos) - Space

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
YES 17%NO 83%

North Korea dismisses Donald Trump’s overture - Financial Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Trump shows off White House renovations and ornate new helipad - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
YES 26%NO 74%

Trump shows off White House renovations and ornate new helipad - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 15%NO 85%

Trump shows off White House renovations and ornate new helipad - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NBA
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 13%NO 87%

NBA 2K27 Just Rewrote The Sports Game Story Mode - GameSpot

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
YES 10%NO 90%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
YES 52%NO 48%

Defending Against an Active Threat to Siemens S7 Series PLCs - CISA (.gov)

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.