Live
Hayden Panettiere dies at 36 - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and VideosTrump says US to scale back South Korea military drills after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC BBCTrump says US scaling back joint military operations with South Korea - BBC BBCUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv blows up biggest ‘Russian Amazon’ hub in massive drone attack - The Independent The IndependentFerrari's first ever electric car sold for record $40m at auction - BBC BBCLive updates: Jared Kushner meets with regional leaders as multiple conflicts roil the Middle East - CNN CNNFinal UI for Googlebook ‘Desktop Camera’ app revealed [Gallery] - 9to5Google 9to5GoogleKushner meets Hamas leaders in Egypt to push Trump’s Gaza plan - Al Jazeera Al Jazeera24 Memes From This Week That Are 100% Clean But Still Funny As Heck - buzzfeed.com buzzfeed.comHurricane Lala cuts power to thousands in Hawaii — rural outages could last months - San Francisco Chronicle San Francisco ChronicleStock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts three-week win streak: Live updates - CNBC CNBCOil hangs onto gains as US-Iran peace talks stall, Hormuz shipping slows - Reuters ReutersOil rises as US-Iran peace talks stall, Hormuz shipping slows - Reuters ReutersJapan second-quarter GDP grows 1.1% on an annualized basis, missing expectations - CNBC CNBCHayden Panettiere dies at 36 - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and VideosTrump says US to scale back South Korea military drills after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC BBCTrump says US scaling back joint military operations with South Korea - BBC BBCUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv blows up biggest ‘Russian Amazon’ hub in massive drone attack - The Independent The IndependentFerrari's first ever electric car sold for record $40m at auction - BBC BBCLive updates: Jared Kushner meets with regional leaders as multiple conflicts roil the Middle East - CNN CNNFinal UI for Googlebook ‘Desktop Camera’ app revealed [Gallery] - 9to5Google 9to5GoogleKushner meets Hamas leaders in Egypt to push Trump’s Gaza plan - Al Jazeera Al Jazeera24 Memes From This Week That Are 100% Clean But Still Funny As Heck - buzzfeed.com buzzfeed.comHurricane Lala cuts power to thousands in Hawaii — rural outages could last months - San Francisco Chronicle San Francisco ChronicleStock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts three-week win streak: Live updates - CNBC CNBCOil hangs onto gains as US-Iran peace talks stall, Hormuz shipping slows - Reuters ReutersOil rises as US-Iran peace talks stall, Hormuz shipping slows - Reuters ReutersJapan second-quarter GDP grows 1.1% on an annualized basis, missing expectations - CNBC CNBC
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Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 17, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump says US to scale back South Korea military drills after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump says US to scale back South Korea military drills after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 19%NO 81%

Republican senator denounces Trump’s ‘crazy, stupid’ claims about MMR vaccine safety | Trump administration - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 72%NO 28%

Japan second-quarter GDP grows 1.1% on an annualized basis, missing expectations - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Republican senator denounces Trump’s ‘crazy, stupid’ claims about MMR vaccine safety | Trump administration - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 21%NO 79%

Republican senator denounces Trump’s ‘crazy, stupid’ claims about MMR vaccine safety | Trump administration - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
YES 18%NO 82%

Oil Edges Higher as Middle East Tensions Linger: Markets Wrap - Bloomberg.com

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Angel City FC vs. Washington Spirit: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
YES 50%NO 50%

How to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.