Live
Hurricane Lala lashes Hawaii with 'enormous storm', as at least one dead on Big Island - Sky News Sky NewsRescuers search for survivors of powerful Indonesia earthquake - BBC BBCWith Priests Scarce in Rural Italy, an African Pastor Is Filling the Void - The New York Times The New York TimesNATO fighter jet shoots down drone breaching Romania’s airspace - CNN CNNSouth Korea fired warning shots after North Korean soldiers crossed demarcation line, Yonhap says - Reuters ReutersUS pulls last aircraft carrier in Asia as Trump focuses on Iran and the Western Hemisphere - AP News AP NewsFive wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, suspect arrested - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraQatar denies Tehran’s claim it is detaining Iranian bomber pilots - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraNew record! SpaceX launches 2 Falcon 9 rockets just 38 minutes apart - Space SpaceLive flood updates: President Trump approves emergency declaration - indystar.com indystar.comFired Ukrainian defense minister says Ukraine is in a "technological war" with Russia - CBS News CBS NewsNorth Korea's Kim, Russia's Putin reaffirm ties on Korean Liberation Day - Reuters ReutersIran responds after Trump teases Strait of Hormuz becoming US territory - Fox News Fox NewsTakaichi skips controversial shrine on 81st anniversary of Japan's World War II surrender - Politico PoliticoHurricane Lala lashes Hawaii with 'enormous storm', as at least one dead on Big Island - Sky News Sky NewsRescuers search for survivors of powerful Indonesia earthquake - BBC BBCWith Priests Scarce in Rural Italy, an African Pastor Is Filling the Void - The New York Times The New York TimesNATO fighter jet shoots down drone breaching Romania’s airspace - CNN CNNSouth Korea fired warning shots after North Korean soldiers crossed demarcation line, Yonhap says - Reuters ReutersUS pulls last aircraft carrier in Asia as Trump focuses on Iran and the Western Hemisphere - AP News AP NewsFive wounded in shooting at Virginia State University, suspect arrested - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraQatar denies Tehran’s claim it is detaining Iranian bomber pilots - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraNew record! SpaceX launches 2 Falcon 9 rockets just 38 minutes apart - Space SpaceLive flood updates: President Trump approves emergency declaration - indystar.com indystar.comFired Ukrainian defense minister says Ukraine is in a "technological war" with Russia - CBS News CBS NewsNorth Korea's Kim, Russia's Putin reaffirm ties on Korean Liberation Day - Reuters ReutersIran responds after Trump teases Strait of Hormuz becoming US territory - Fox News Fox NewsTakaichi skips controversial shrine on 81st anniversary of Japan's World War II surrender - Politico Politico
–
Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 16, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 34%NO 66%

New record! SpaceX launches 2 Falcon 9 rockets just 38 minutes apart - Space

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
YES 44%NO 56%

Inflation moderated as Intel and Nvidia fueled the AI trade in last week's market - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 18%NO 82%

Live flood updates: President Trump approves emergency declaration - indystar.com

View on Polymarket →
Science · Space
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
YES 18%NO 82%

SpaceX’s Starship generates more than twice the thrust of the Saturn V that carried humans to the Moon, yet after 13 test flights it still hasn’t demonstrated ship-to-ship refueling in orbit — one of the biggest technical hurdles standing between Starship and Mars - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

North Korea's Kim, Russia's Putin reaffirm ties on Korean Liberation Day - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 39%NO 61%

Live flood updates: President Trump approves emergency declaration - indystar.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Trump backs Republican challenger to oust Letitia James amid ongoing mortgage fraud feud - Fox News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 19%NO 81%

Trump backs Republican challenger to oust Letitia James amid ongoing mortgage fraud feud - Fox News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.