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What you need to know about Hurricane Lala recovery: All public schools, state and county offices closed Tuesday - Big Island Now Big Island NowSouth Korea must brace for ‘worst-case scenario,’ President Lee says, as Trump cuts military drills - CNBC CNBCGlobal Bond Rout Sends Long-Term Borrowing Costs to Highest in Decades - Yahoo Finance Yahoo FinanceStudent shooter kills classmate and himself at a Philippine school, mayor says - AP News AP NewsDems plan Oman war powers push after Trump threatens bombing - Axios AxiosShip attacked in Hormuz Strait as U.S.-Iran ceasefire expiry risks prolonged conflict - CNBC CNBC60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostAfter Powerball winner in Illinois, Florida, results for Monday, Aug. 17 - Treasure Coast News Treasure Coast NewsLindsay Clancy's mother testifies "she had thoughts of harming the children," as defense begins in murder trial - cbsnews.com cbsnews.comHours after American Airlines Chicago airport emergency, United flight 739 suffers tire damage while landing at O'Hare airport - ABC7 Chicago ABC7 ChicagoJustice Department asks court to reinstate criminal charges against Kilmar Abrego Garcia - cbsnews.com cbsnews.com5 Anker Gadgets Under $25 Worth Adding To Your Kit - bgr.com bgr.comWater Detected Surprisingly Close to Our Galaxy's Supermassive Black Hole - sciencealert.com sciencealert.comCalifornia regulators approve new rules limiting what replacement tires you can buy for your car - KCRA KCRAWhat you need to know about Hurricane Lala recovery: All public schools, state and county offices closed Tuesday - Big Island Now Big Island NowSouth Korea must brace for ‘worst-case scenario,’ President Lee says, as Trump cuts military drills - CNBC CNBCGlobal Bond Rout Sends Long-Term Borrowing Costs to Highest in Decades - Yahoo Finance Yahoo FinanceStudent shooter kills classmate and himself at a Philippine school, mayor says - AP News AP NewsDems plan Oman war powers push after Trump threatens bombing - Axios AxiosShip attacked in Hormuz Strait as U.S.-Iran ceasefire expiry risks prolonged conflict - CNBC CNBC60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostAfter Powerball winner in Illinois, Florida, results for Monday, Aug. 17 - Treasure Coast News Treasure Coast NewsLindsay Clancy's mother testifies "she had thoughts of harming the children," as defense begins in murder trial - cbsnews.com cbsnews.comHours after American Airlines Chicago airport emergency, United flight 739 suffers tire damage while landing at O'Hare airport - ABC7 Chicago ABC7 ChicagoJustice Department asks court to reinstate criminal charges against Kilmar Abrego Garcia - cbsnews.com cbsnews.com5 Anker Gadgets Under $25 Worth Adding To Your Kit - bgr.com bgr.comWater Detected Surprisingly Close to Our Galaxy's Supermassive Black Hole - sciencealert.com sciencealert.comCalifornia regulators approve new rules limiting what replacement tires you can buy for your car - KCRA KCRA
–
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

SpaceX just launched a secret payload from California - Teslarati

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
YES 68%NO 32%

AI Slop Is Everywhere. Spotify, LinkedIn and Others Have Had Enough. - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 18%NO 82%

Russia upholds Yabloko party's election ban and jails its deputy chair - Euronews.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

China’s Xi praises former president Jiang’s contribution in show of party unity - South China Morning Post

View on Polymarket →
Economy
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner
YES 38%NO 62%

Global Bond Rout Sends Long-Term Borrowing Costs to Highest in Decades - Yahoo Finance

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

China’s Xi praises former president Jiang’s contribution in show of party unity - South China Morning Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
YES 26%NO 74%

China’s Xi praises former president Jiang’s contribution in show of party unity - South China Morning Post

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 7%NO 93%

Spotify’s new Playlist Notes let users and editors explain their song picks - TechCrunch

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.