Live
U.S.-Iran Updates: Trump says no talks with Iran taking place as standoff over Strait of Hormuz continues - CBS News CBS NewsHow Israel’s Financial Chokehold Is Stifling the West Bank Economy - The New York Times The New York TimesPenn State students accused of running cocaine trafficking ring at fraternity houses - The Guardian The GuardianAmtrak wraps first part of East River tunnel rehab, MTA says work strained LIRR service - Gothamist GothamistDeSantis Ally, Palm Beach County Clerk Arrested For Child Sex-Abuse - Forbes ForbesInside NASA’s ‘Big Bang’: A Daring Plan to Keep the Distant Voyagers Alive - The New York Times The New York TimesDubai alert LIVE: Missile warning sent to UAE as Iran war sparks panic in Middle East - Daily Express Daily ExpressIsraeli airstrikes hit Syrian airbase, drawing Turkish condemnation - Reuters Reuters‘Dead’ Destiny 2’s Playercount Now Matches ‘ARC Raiders’ - Forbes ForbesSouth Korean president jumps to invest in military after Trump cuts joint exercises - Fox News Fox NewsThe Moscow region is hit by a drone blitz as Russian missiles kill 10 in a Ukrainian village - AP News AP NewsX-rays add new twist to narwhal’s spiral tusk - Ars Technica Ars TechnicaSinking AI stocks pull Wall Street further from its record - AP News AP NewsGlobal bond markets put governments on notice over fiscal, inflation risks - Reuters ReutersU.S.-Iran Updates: Trump says no talks with Iran taking place as standoff over Strait of Hormuz continues - CBS News CBS NewsHow Israel’s Financial Chokehold Is Stifling the West Bank Economy - The New York Times The New York TimesPenn State students accused of running cocaine trafficking ring at fraternity houses - The Guardian The GuardianAmtrak wraps first part of East River tunnel rehab, MTA says work strained LIRR service - Gothamist GothamistDeSantis Ally, Palm Beach County Clerk Arrested For Child Sex-Abuse - Forbes ForbesInside NASA’s ‘Big Bang’: A Daring Plan to Keep the Distant Voyagers Alive - The New York Times The New York TimesDubai alert LIVE: Missile warning sent to UAE as Iran war sparks panic in Middle East - Daily Express Daily ExpressIsraeli airstrikes hit Syrian airbase, drawing Turkish condemnation - Reuters Reuters‘Dead’ Destiny 2’s Playercount Now Matches ‘ARC Raiders’ - Forbes ForbesSouth Korean president jumps to invest in military after Trump cuts joint exercises - Fox News Fox NewsThe Moscow region is hit by a drone blitz as Russian missiles kill 10 in a Ukrainian village - AP News AP NewsX-rays add new twist to narwhal’s spiral tusk - Ars Technica Ars TechnicaSinking AI stocks pull Wall Street further from its record - AP News AP NewsGlobal bond markets put governments on notice over fiscal, inflation risks - Reuters Reuters
–
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

See gorgeous views of the Aug. 12 total solar eclipse captured from space - Space

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 40%NO 60%

Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 36%NO 64%

Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Oregon have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
YES 66%NO 34%

Last common ancestor of humans and chimpanzees could have been a vertical climber, no matter its feet - Phys.org

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Notre Dame have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
YES 66%NO 34%

Last common ancestor of humans and chimpanzees could have been a vertical climber, no matter its feet - Phys.org

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Russia is shipping explosives to Iran to bolster its missile and drone arsenal in U.S. war - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
YES 82%NO 18%

Zambia Says President Won Re-election After Tumultuous Campaign - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.