Live
Trump lauded low prices at Freedom Fuel. A supplier says some gas wasn’t paid for. - The Washington Post The Washington PostRight-wing commentator Milo Yiannopoulos deported from US to UK - BBC BBCWhat Lake Ontario’s sailors think of Trump’s name change to Lake America - The Washington Post The Washington PostRussian strike on Kyiv-area ammunition depot triggers blast, killing 37 - Reuters ReutersLive Updates: Iran vows to resist U.S. sanctions as war passes 6-month mark - CBS News CBS NewsTens of thousands mourn King Harald V in Oslo as Norway enters a new royal era - AP News AP NewsRelative of Afghans Who Helped U.S. Military Is Deported to Africa - The New York Times The New York TimesNepal-China flood survivors reach safe areas as families await news of nearly 3,000 missing - AP News AP NewsIsraeli settlers surround Palestinian home in occupied West Bank’s Qusra - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraViolent Haitian gang releases women and children after mass kidnapping and deadly attack - AP News AP NewsTrump hails 'historic' deal for US to control 65bn barrels of Venezuela's oil - BBC BBCRussia plans new ground attack on Kyiv, Ukraine warns - politico.eu politico.euBillionaire Says Email Your Best Offer For Private Island In Tanzania—Fast - Forbes ForbesThe ‘Iron Man’ Game Lives, And Its First Look Leaked - Gizmodo GizmodoTrump lauded low prices at Freedom Fuel. A supplier says some gas wasn’t paid for. - The Washington Post The Washington PostRight-wing commentator Milo Yiannopoulos deported from US to UK - BBC BBCWhat Lake Ontario’s sailors think of Trump’s name change to Lake America - The Washington Post The Washington PostRussian strike on Kyiv-area ammunition depot triggers blast, killing 37 - Reuters ReutersLive Updates: Iran vows to resist U.S. sanctions as war passes 6-month mark - CBS News CBS NewsTens of thousands mourn King Harald V in Oslo as Norway enters a new royal era - AP News AP NewsRelative of Afghans Who Helped U.S. Military Is Deported to Africa - The New York Times The New York TimesNepal-China flood survivors reach safe areas as families await news of nearly 3,000 missing - AP News AP NewsIsraeli settlers surround Palestinian home in occupied West Bank’s Qusra - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraViolent Haitian gang releases women and children after mass kidnapping and deadly attack - AP News AP NewsTrump hails 'historic' deal for US to control 65bn barrels of Venezuela's oil - BBC BBCRussia plans new ground attack on Kyiv, Ukraine warns - politico.eu politico.euBillionaire Says Email Your Best Offer For Private Island In Tanzania—Fast - Forbes ForbesThe ‘Iron Man’ Game Lives, And Its First Look Leaked - Gizmodo Gizmodo
–
Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 29, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%

Trump hails 'historic' deal for US to control 65bn barrels of Venezuela's oil - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Toronto FC vs. New York City FC: New York City FC O/U 1.5
YES 44%NO 56%

Relative of Afghans Who Helped U.S. Military Is Deported to Africa - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
YES 69%NO 31%

Security News This Week: The Cybersecurity Apocalypse Is Coming in ‘Months,’ AI Giants Warn - WIRED

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
YES 10%NO 90%

OpenAI says it's ending its deal with Cursor because Elon Musk's companies violate contracts - Business Insider

View on Polymarket →
Economy
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner
YES 38%NO 62%

Scientists Just Made A Serious Breakthrough. Now This Nobel Prize Winner Thinks We’ve Mapped The Universe All Wrong - All That's Interesting

View on Polymarket →
Science · Space
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
YES 26%NO 74%

Scientists May Have Proved a Century-Old Theory That the Vacuum of Space Isn’t Really Empty - Yahoo

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

Ex-White House teleprompter operator fined $172,000 for Trump speech bets - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Business
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
YES 8%NO 92%

We're in the midst of an 'Imax awakening,' CEO says. How the company makes millions - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.