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Lindsay Clancy trial latest: Court resumes - follow live - BBC BBCDow jumps 600 points, heads for best day in a month as yields fall: Live updates - CNBC CNBCOpenAI launches GPT-6 Astra and says welcome to the "AGI era" - The New Stack The New StackRate Rise in Play as Fed Officials Await Inflation Data - nytimes.com nytimes.comFox News star Maria Bartiromo is out at the network - NPR NPROil prices rise on Middle East escalation - Reuters ReutersA pair of spacecraft draw closer to Mercury after nearly decade-long voyage - AP News AP NewsIran targets Kuwait in retaliation for US bombardments, and other Mideast news - AP News AP NewsMicrosoft to impose time limits on Xbox cloud gaming subscribers as costs continue to climb - CNBC CNBCAutomakers urge Congress to permanently ban Chinese connected vehicles in U.S. - CNBC CNBCPopular squishy toy recalled over ‘serious injury’ hazard after months of child hospitalizations - New York Post New York PostFederal judge considers whether to extend ban against US Postal Service mail voting changes - AP News AP NewsUS House passes bill penalizing universities that participate in boycott of Israel - The Guardian The GuardianIran targets US bases as Israel warns sanctions could drive Tehran to ‘desperate steps’ - The Guardian The GuardianLindsay Clancy trial latest: Court resumes - follow live - BBC BBCDow jumps 600 points, heads for best day in a month as yields fall: Live updates - CNBC CNBCOpenAI launches GPT-6 Astra and says welcome to the "AGI era" - The New Stack The New StackRate Rise in Play as Fed Officials Await Inflation Data - nytimes.com nytimes.comFox News star Maria Bartiromo is out at the network - NPR NPROil prices rise on Middle East escalation - Reuters ReutersA pair of spacecraft draw closer to Mercury after nearly decade-long voyage - AP News AP NewsIran targets Kuwait in retaliation for US bombardments, and other Mideast news - AP News AP NewsMicrosoft to impose time limits on Xbox cloud gaming subscribers as costs continue to climb - CNBC CNBCAutomakers urge Congress to permanently ban Chinese connected vehicles in U.S. - CNBC CNBCPopular squishy toy recalled over ‘serious injury’ hazard after months of child hospitalizations - New York Post New York PostFederal judge considers whether to extend ban against US Postal Service mail voting changes - AP News AP NewsUS House passes bill penalizing universities that participate in boycott of Israel - The Guardian The GuardianIran targets US bases as Israel warns sanctions could drive Tehran to ‘desperate steps’ - The Guardian The Guardian
Crowd intelligence · Thursday, September 3, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Senate
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
YES 84%NO 16%

Trump’s DOJ Blocked Serious ICE Shooting Charge Over Federal Prosecutor’s “Strongest Possible” Objections - ProPublica

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
Will Russia target Kyiv by September 11, 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%

Russia to close German cultural centers amid deepening tensions with Europe over supporting Ukraine - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 20%NO 80%

The bond market is crashing Trump’s midterm campaign - Fortune

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
YES 48%NO 52%

New Scott Addict Gravel has massive 57mm tyre clearance and lightest weight yet – but there no 32in version

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 50% or more?
YES 6%NO 94%

Germany's far-right AfD aims for breakthrough in state election - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 0%-5%?
YES 8%NO 92%

Germany's far-right AfD aims for breakthrough in state election - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?
YES 14%NO 86%

Germany's far-right AfD aims for breakthrough in state election - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?
YES 14%NO 86%

Germany's far-right AfD aims for breakthrough in state election - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.