Live
ABC sues FCC, claiming First Amendment violations, escalating months-long feud - The Washington Post The Washington PostU.S. debt is set to hit $40 trillion, months earlier than expected, as bond yields rise - The Washington Post The Washington PostUkraine-Russia war latest: Russians ‘withdraw billions’ from banks amid fears Putin could seize money - The Independent The IndependentMeta 'hid the truth' over child safety, court hears, as social media trial begins - BBC BBCPsychologist who met with Lindsay Clancy after children's deaths says "she heard male voice ordering her" - CBS News CBS NewsUAE says two missiles detected earlier were launched from Iran - Reuters ReutersS&P 500 falls for a third day, as elevated global bond yields and oil prices weigh on market - CNBC CNBCU.S.-Iran Updates: Trump says no talks with Iran taking place as standoff over Strait of Hormuz continues - CBS News CBS NewsTrump seeks to open millions of acres of national forests to roads - The Washington Post The Washington PostSouth Korea president calls for military independence in wake of Trump call to cut joint drills - The Guardian The GuardianElection Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesTrump is weighing whether to grant Canada a tariff reprieve - Politico PoliticoCongressional Democrats plan Oman war powers push after Trump threatens bombing - Axios AxiosWill David Ellison Say Goodbye to Hollywood? Some See Paramount’s Potential Exit From California as ‘Strategically Unwise’ — but Others Say It’s Just Smart Business - Variety VarietyABC sues FCC, claiming First Amendment violations, escalating months-long feud - The Washington Post The Washington PostU.S. debt is set to hit $40 trillion, months earlier than expected, as bond yields rise - The Washington Post The Washington PostUkraine-Russia war latest: Russians ‘withdraw billions’ from banks amid fears Putin could seize money - The Independent The IndependentMeta 'hid the truth' over child safety, court hears, as social media trial begins - BBC BBCPsychologist who met with Lindsay Clancy after children's deaths says "she heard male voice ordering her" - CBS News CBS NewsUAE says two missiles detected earlier were launched from Iran - Reuters ReutersS&P 500 falls for a third day, as elevated global bond yields and oil prices weigh on market - CNBC CNBCU.S.-Iran Updates: Trump says no talks with Iran taking place as standoff over Strait of Hormuz continues - CBS News CBS NewsTrump seeks to open millions of acres of national forests to roads - The Washington Post The Washington PostSouth Korea president calls for military independence in wake of Trump call to cut joint drills - The Guardian The GuardianElection Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesTrump is weighing whether to grant Canada a tariff reprieve - Politico PoliticoCongressional Democrats plan Oman war powers push after Trump threatens bombing - Axios AxiosWill David Ellison Say Goodbye to Hollywood? Some See Paramount’s Potential Exit From California as ‘Strategically Unwise’ — but Others Say It’s Just Smart Business - Variety Variety
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

Vampire bats will regurgitate blood to save a starving roost-mate, even one they are not related to — then remember who helped them before, in a system of animal reciprocity that looks less like instinct than a tiny favour economy - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
YES 54%NO 46%

Here's your next batch of Xbox and PC Game Pass games for August - Eurogamer

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Ukraine targets Moscow with huge drone strike as Russia warns U.K. will pay price for supplying attack drones - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 43%NO 57%

Ossoff calls Trump a ‘draft-dodging, crook president,’ intensifying his feud with White House - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 34%NO 66%

Election Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
YES 15%NO 85%

ABC sues FCC, claiming First Amendment violations, escalating months-long feud - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
YES 84%NO 16%

Election Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
YES 28%NO 72%

Election Live Updates: Florida, Alaska and Wyoming Hold Key Primaries - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.