Live
U.S. Cuts Back Military Drills With South Korea, as Trump Woos Kim Jong-un - The New York Times The New York TimesUkraine-Russia war latest: Russians ‘withdraw billions’ from banks amid fears Putin could seize money - The Independent The IndependentStock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts third straight losing day: Live updates - CNBC CNBCZelenskyy faces challenge to his wartime rule as former defense chief calls for election - CNBC CNBC'Catastrophic' hotel blunder caused unfair trial, mushroom murderer's lawyers tell court - BBC BBCIsrael defends strike on Syria as U.S. frustration with Bibi grows - Axios AxiosTrump pauses 50% tariffs on Canadian goods for 3 days - Axios AxiosA Stunning Win for the Left in Florida: 6 Takeaways From Tuesday’s Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesAsian stocks slump as chip selloff deepens; KOSPI plunges 5% - Investing.com Investing.comA warehouse burns near Moscow. In Ukraine, drone crews prepare to strike again - AP News AP NewsTarget is set to report earnings before the bell. Here's what to expect - CNBC CNBCMarin County's famous spinning space craft home is on the market - SFGATE SFGATETrump’s pick for Wyoming governor is the latest endorsee to lose primary - Politico PoliticoTrump to Nominate Heidi Overton, a Top Domestic Policy Aide, for F.D.A. Commissioner - The New York Times The New York TimesU.S. Cuts Back Military Drills With South Korea, as Trump Woos Kim Jong-un - The New York Times The New York TimesUkraine-Russia war latest: Russians ‘withdraw billions’ from banks amid fears Putin could seize money - The Independent The IndependentStock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts third straight losing day: Live updates - CNBC CNBCZelenskyy faces challenge to his wartime rule as former defense chief calls for election - CNBC CNBC'Catastrophic' hotel blunder caused unfair trial, mushroom murderer's lawyers tell court - BBC BBCIsrael defends strike on Syria as U.S. frustration with Bibi grows - Axios AxiosTrump pauses 50% tariffs on Canadian goods for 3 days - Axios AxiosA Stunning Win for the Left in Florida: 6 Takeaways From Tuesday’s Primaries - The New York Times The New York TimesAsian stocks slump as chip selloff deepens; KOSPI plunges 5% - Investing.com Investing.comA warehouse burns near Moscow. In Ukraine, drone crews prepare to strike again - AP News AP NewsTarget is set to report earnings before the bell. Here's what to expect - CNBC CNBCMarin County's famous spinning space craft home is on the market - SFGATE SFGATETrump’s pick for Wyoming governor is the latest endorsee to lose primary - Politico PoliticoTrump to Nominate Heidi Overton, a Top Domestic Policy Aide, for F.D.A. Commissioner - The New York Times The New York Times
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Crowd intelligence · Wednesday, August 19, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 33%NO 67%

NASA spots new crater on the moon created when a SpaceX rocket crashed - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NBA
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 13%NO 87%

NBA 2K27 Just Rewrote The Sports Game Story Mode - gamespot.com

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
YES 17%NO 83%

OpenAI lays out new security changes after its AI hacked Hugging Face - The Verge

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?
YES 7%NO 93%

NBA 2K27 Just Rewrote The Sports Game Story Mode - gamespot.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 40%NO 60%

Colombia's president pegs early quake losses at $9.6 billion - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Zelenskyy faces challenge to his wartime rule as former defense chief calls for election - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will Fidélis Alcântara win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
YES 5%NO 95%

Zelenskyy faces challenge to his wartime rule as former defense chief calls for election - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
YES 50%NO 50%

Ship attack in Hormuz kills crew member while Trump says strait is 'open and operating' - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.