Live
U.S. Navy destroyer lost power for 4 days in South China Sea - The Washington Post The Washington Post60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostAfter Powerball winner in Illinois, Florida, results for Monday, Aug. 17 - Treasure Coast News Treasure Coast NewsTrump calls on Iran to surrender, threatens Oman over Strait of Hormuz - Al Jazeera Al Jazeera5 Anker Gadgets Under $25 Worth Adding To Your Kit - bgr.com bgr.comWater Detected Surprisingly Close to Our Galaxy's Supermassive Black Hole - ScienceAlert ScienceAlertApple's Camera-Equipped AirPods Confirmed: See Them in Action - MacRumors MacRumorsRussia warns UK over supplying drones to Ukraine - BBC BBCOil climbs as fading US-Iran peace hopes raise supply risks - Reuters ReutersAnthropic's revenue run rate reportedly surpasses $65 billion pre-IPO - Axios AxiosFamily Presses for Information About Fatal ICE Shooting in Maine - The New York Times The New York TimesPenn State frat brothers charged with running cocaine trafficking ring - CBS News CBS News‘We will not allow Gaza to be rebuilt’ until Hamas disarms, Kushner says - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraFacing Quagmire in Iran, Trump Turns to a Familiar Face: North Korea’s Kim Jong-un - The New York Times The New York TimesU.S. Navy destroyer lost power for 4 days in South China Sea - The Washington Post The Washington Post60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostAfter Powerball winner in Illinois, Florida, results for Monday, Aug. 17 - Treasure Coast News Treasure Coast NewsTrump calls on Iran to surrender, threatens Oman over Strait of Hormuz - Al Jazeera Al Jazeera5 Anker Gadgets Under $25 Worth Adding To Your Kit - bgr.com bgr.comWater Detected Surprisingly Close to Our Galaxy's Supermassive Black Hole - ScienceAlert ScienceAlertApple's Camera-Equipped AirPods Confirmed: See Them in Action - MacRumors MacRumorsRussia warns UK over supplying drones to Ukraine - BBC BBCOil climbs as fading US-Iran peace hopes raise supply risks - Reuters ReutersAnthropic's revenue run rate reportedly surpasses $65 billion pre-IPO - Axios AxiosFamily Presses for Information About Fatal ICE Shooting in Maine - The New York Times The New York TimesPenn State frat brothers charged with running cocaine trafficking ring - CBS News CBS News‘We will not allow Gaza to be rebuilt’ until Hamas disarms, Kushner says - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraFacing Quagmire in Iran, Trump Turns to a Familiar Face: North Korea’s Kim Jong-un - The New York Times The New York Times
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Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

SpaceX just launched a secret payload from California - Teslarati

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Facing Quagmire in Iran, Trump Turns to a Familiar Face: North Korea’s Kim Jong-un - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 14%NO 86%

Spotify’s new Playlist Notes let users and editors explain their song picks - TechCrunch

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Russia maintains election ban on opposition Yabloko, jails deputy head - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Russia maintains election ban on opposition Yabloko, jails deputy head - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Russia maintains election ban on opposition Yabloko, jails deputy head - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 18%NO 82%

China’s Xi praises former president Jiang’s contribution in show of party unity - South China Morning Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES 8%NO 92%

Russia maintains election ban on opposition Yabloko, jails deputy head - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.