Live
Live Updates: U.S. and Iran locked in a stalemate as 60-day negotiation period ends - CBS News CBS NewsMurder Drops to Historic Lows in Baltimore - The New York Times The New York TimesThey were told to park outside. Then their cars burst into flames. - The Washington Post The Washington PostMeta faces ‘astronomical’ consequences as legal fight reaches critical moment in California - CNBC CNBC10 Years Later, This is Still the Hardest Platinum Trophy I’ve Ever Earned - ign.com ign.comATE Migraciones Iguazú renovó su conducción : María Belén Villalba encabezará la Junta Interna lavozdecataratas.comIndigenous peoples are deeply invested in Canada – Winnipeg Free Press winnipegfreepress.comТЦК передали до поліції 1 , 5 млн звернень щодо розшуку ухилянтів podrobnosti.uaAfter NEET leak , UGC - NET errors : NTA removes 50+ staff , brings in tech and security experts in sweeping exam overhaul moneycontrol.comVivo ಕಂಪನಿಯ ಈ ಜನಪ್ರಿಯ ಸ್ಮಾರ್ಟ್‌ಫೋನ್‌ಗಳ ಬೆಲೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ಭಾರೀ ಏರಿಕೆ ! ಹೊಸ ಬೆಲೆ ನೋಡಿ digit.inCarlos Uriarte Sánchez : Pakistán está mucho más cerca de España de lo que creemos : potencia nuclear y quinto país más poblado del mundo periodistadigital.comNejsilnější Dacia Sandero v Česku má 1 , 8litrový hybrid . Dáte za ni půl milionu autorevue.czREADER LETTER | If Playland is the fish , let us not ignore the net theherald.co.zaBIPA și PENNY vor deschide magazine la Jumbo Center din București în a doua parte a anului 2026 business24.roLive Updates: U.S. and Iran locked in a stalemate as 60-day negotiation period ends - CBS News CBS NewsMurder Drops to Historic Lows in Baltimore - The New York Times The New York TimesThey were told to park outside. Then their cars burst into flames. - The Washington Post The Washington PostMeta faces ‘astronomical’ consequences as legal fight reaches critical moment in California - CNBC CNBC10 Years Later, This is Still the Hardest Platinum Trophy I’ve Ever Earned - ign.com ign.comATE Migraciones Iguazú renovó su conducción : María Belén Villalba encabezará la Junta Interna lavozdecataratas.comIndigenous peoples are deeply invested in Canada – Winnipeg Free Press winnipegfreepress.comТЦК передали до поліції 1 , 5 млн звернень щодо розшуку ухилянтів podrobnosti.uaAfter NEET leak , UGC - NET errors : NTA removes 50+ staff , brings in tech and security experts in sweeping exam overhaul moneycontrol.comVivo ಕಂಪನಿಯ ಈ ಜನಪ್ರಿಯ ಸ್ಮಾರ್ಟ್‌ಫೋನ್‌ಗಳ ಬೆಲೆಯಲ್ಲಿ ಭಾರೀ ಏರಿಕೆ ! ಹೊಸ ಬೆಲೆ ನೋಡಿ digit.inCarlos Uriarte Sánchez : Pakistán está mucho más cerca de España de lo que creemos : potencia nuclear y quinto país más poblado del mundo periodistadigital.comNejsilnější Dacia Sandero v Česku má 1 , 8litrový hybrid . Dáte za ni půl milionu autorevue.czREADER LETTER | If Playland is the fish , let us not ignore the net theherald.co.zaBIPA și PENNY vor deschide magazine la Jumbo Center din București în a doua parte a anului 2026 business24.ro
–
Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 17, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 34%NO 66%

SpaceX launches record-breaking back-to-back Falcon 9 rockets for Globalstar, U.S. Space Force - Spaceflight Now

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Ukraine attacks Wildberries, Russia's biggest online market - DW.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump’s Overture to Kim Jong-un Strains Alliance With South Korea - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
YES 62%NO 38%

Trump says White House needs ‘military complex’ as courts block his ballroom - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Economy
CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Team to Take First Corner
YES 90%NO 10%

Ferrari's first ever electric car sold for record $40m at auction - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

Blanche refuses to pledge DOJ independence from White House - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Blanche refuses to pledge DOJ independence from White House - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 79%NO 21%

Satellite operators emphasize launch deals in a constrained market - SpaceNews

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.