Live
Fast-moving wildfire in Reno, Nevada, forces tens of thousands to evacuate homes - The Guardian The GuardianSean Grayson, ex-deputy convicted of fatally shooting Sonya Massey, dies, attorney says - NBC News NBC NewsHe was waiting for his son to return from the USS Lincoln. Then Border Patrol arrested him. - AP News AP NewsIsraeli airstrikes in Gaza kill two people, including 4-year-old boy, medics say - Reuters ReutersDog food recalled across US and Canada after complaints of metal contamination - Fox Business Fox BusinessLindsay Clancy killed her children. The jury will soon answer a more complicated question. - NBC News NBC NewsLandslide at waste mound in Guinea capital kills 30, government says - The Guardian The GuardianUkraine war latest: Zelensky claims Putin drafting 300,000 troops to seize territory - The Independent The IndependentPence says U.S.-Canada trade fight adds to affordability concerns for economy - The Washington Post The Washington PostUS Futures Edge Lower With AI Spending in Focus: Markets Wrap - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comBump-and-run sparks Berry-Wallace battle for lead - NASCAR.com NASCAR.comSamsung reportedly bringing this major redesign back from the dead with Galaxy S27 [Gallery] - 9to5Google 9to5GooglePeople Are Sharing Beautiful, Day-Brightening Facts That Sound Totally Made Up, But Are Actually 100% True - BuzzFeed BuzzFeedSK Hynix Unpacks Advanced Packaging Technologies, Including Intel EMIB, For Its Next-Gen HBM Memory As It Eyes 3D Structures For The Future - Wccftech WccftechFast-moving wildfire in Reno, Nevada, forces tens of thousands to evacuate homes - The Guardian The GuardianSean Grayson, ex-deputy convicted of fatally shooting Sonya Massey, dies, attorney says - NBC News NBC NewsHe was waiting for his son to return from the USS Lincoln. Then Border Patrol arrested him. - AP News AP NewsIsraeli airstrikes in Gaza kill two people, including 4-year-old boy, medics say - Reuters ReutersDog food recalled across US and Canada after complaints of metal contamination - Fox Business Fox BusinessLindsay Clancy killed her children. The jury will soon answer a more complicated question. - NBC News NBC NewsLandslide at waste mound in Guinea capital kills 30, government says - The Guardian The GuardianUkraine war latest: Zelensky claims Putin drafting 300,000 troops to seize territory - The Independent The IndependentPence says U.S.-Canada trade fight adds to affordability concerns for economy - The Washington Post The Washington PostUS Futures Edge Lower With AI Spending in Focus: Markets Wrap - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comBump-and-run sparks Berry-Wallace battle for lead - NASCAR.com NASCAR.comSamsung reportedly bringing this major redesign back from the dead with Galaxy S27 [Gallery] - 9to5Google 9to5GooglePeople Are Sharing Beautiful, Day-Brightening Facts That Sound Totally Made Up, But Are Actually 100% True - BuzzFeed BuzzFeedSK Hynix Unpacks Advanced Packaging Technologies, Including Intel EMIB, For Its Next-Gen HBM Memory As It Eyes 3D Structures For The Future - Wccftech Wccftech
–
Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 24, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
World · Iran
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES 10%NO 90%

Barrasso: Monday will be ‘D-Day for the economy in Iran’ - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Barrasso: Monday will be ‘D-Day for the economy in Iran’ - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%

Pete Buttigieg returns to first-in-the-nation South Carolina with a fresh appeal to Black voters - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 57%NO 43%

Trump’s ICE pick is stuck in the Senate — and DHS officials are relieved - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 14%NO 86%

Trump’s ICE pick is stuck in the Senate — and DHS officials are relieved - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 37%NO 63%

Kazakhstan votes in a parliamentary election expected to strengthen president’s grip on power - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump say "God" this week?
YES 85%NO 15%

Trump’s ICE pick is stuck in the Senate — and DHS officials are relieved - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.