Live
US, South Korean militaries wrap up drill early, a day after North Korea’s missile barrage - AP News AP NewsJapan executes man convicted of killing five in 2009 Osaka pachinko parlor arson - The Japan Times The Japan TimesLive Bitcoin price news: Bitcoin tops $77,000 - CoinDesk CoinDeskStock futures fall after Treasury yield rebound sparks sell-off: Live updates - CNBC CNBCMillennials are struggling to buy a home - but is it actually getting easier? - BBC BBCNew York unseats San Francisco as the top market for tech talent, CBRE reports - CNBC CNBCStorms cause flood, tornado warnings in New York City, Tri-State | Live Updates - ABC7 New York ABC7 New YorkAt 77, She Walked 9 Miles Under Drone-Filled Skies to Escape From ‘Hell’ - The New York Times The New York TimesAs USS Lincoln heads home, mental health experts tally the stressors of life at sea - NPR NPRAmid intense backlash, people are vandalizing Flock surveillance cameras - NPR NPRTrump’s biggest political event so far isn’t in a battleground state - Politico PoliticoReturn of Harry and Meghan to U.K. Renews Questions About Their Security Fears - The New York Times The New York TimesTrump’s Economic Threat Puts Focus on Iran’s Trading Partners - The New York Times The New York TimesRayNeo Is Going Both Minimalist And Maximalist With Its Latest AR Smart Glasses - Engadget EngadgetUS, South Korean militaries wrap up drill early, a day after North Korea’s missile barrage - AP News AP NewsJapan executes man convicted of killing five in 2009 Osaka pachinko parlor arson - The Japan Times The Japan TimesLive Bitcoin price news: Bitcoin tops $77,000 - CoinDesk CoinDeskStock futures fall after Treasury yield rebound sparks sell-off: Live updates - CNBC CNBCMillennials are struggling to buy a home - but is it actually getting easier? - BBC BBCNew York unseats San Francisco as the top market for tech talent, CBRE reports - CNBC CNBCStorms cause flood, tornado warnings in New York City, Tri-State | Live Updates - ABC7 New York ABC7 New YorkAt 77, She Walked 9 Miles Under Drone-Filled Skies to Escape From ‘Hell’ - The New York Times The New York TimesAs USS Lincoln heads home, mental health experts tally the stressors of life at sea - NPR NPRAmid intense backlash, people are vandalizing Flock surveillance cameras - NPR NPRTrump’s biggest political event so far isn’t in a battleground state - Politico PoliticoReturn of Harry and Meghan to U.K. Renews Questions About Their Security Fears - The New York Times The New York TimesTrump’s Economic Threat Puts Focus on Iran’s Trading Partners - The New York Times The New York TimesRayNeo Is Going Both Minimalist And Maximalist With Its Latest AR Smart Glasses - Engadget Engadget
–
Crowd intelligence · Friday, August 21, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 42%NO 58%

NASA reveals before-and-after images of moon crater left by SpaceX rocket - AL.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?
YES 74%NO 26%

President Trump and ally-turned-antagonist Michael Cohen reconcile - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?
YES 82%NO 18%

Trump’s Economic Threat Puts Focus on Iran’s Trading Partners - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Science
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 23?
YES 6%NO 94%

2 organizers of Hong Kong’s Tiananmen vigils convicted in national security case - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YES 7%NO 93%

Ousted Ukrainian defence minister's gamble against Zelenskiy backfires as protests end - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 14%NO 86%

Key European leaders demand Israel halt West Bank settlement project - Euronews.com

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?
YES 5%NO 95%

Riot Games Will Cease Active Development For League Of Legends Fighting Game 2XKO In December - Game Informer

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Why Treasury Secretary Bessent’s moves to calm the bond market haven’t worked so far - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.