Live
Live flood updates: At least 5 dead from Indiana storms, officials say - IndyStar IndyStarUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv uses Flamingo missile to bomb space centre and Russian jets - The Independent The IndependentSolo Reload Victory Cup in NA West: Day 3 Day 3 Round 1 - fortnitetracker.com fortnitetracker.comIran War Commander Visits the USS Abraham Lincoln - WSJ WSJWalmart tomato bisque soup recalled over possible Listeria contamination - Fox Business Fox BusinessTrump says he may declare Strait of Hormuz a US territory ‘after we finish defeating Iran’ - foxnews.com foxnews.comUS Democrats finalise major shakeup to 2028 presidential primary calendar - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostDouble jeopardy could spell end of state case after Luigi Mangione’s guilty plea - The Guardian The GuardianRescuers search for survivors of powerful Indonesia earthquake - BBC BBCWoman claims her stepfather used Grok to transform childhood photo into explicit imagery - TechCrunch TechCrunchMassive egg recall in US south and south-west due to salmonella outbreak - The Guardian The Guardian$10 Million in Gold Found Buried Under Former Brewery in Belgium - The New York Times The New York TimesQatar denies it is detaining three Iranian bomber pilots - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraLive flood updates: At least 5 dead from Indiana storms, officials say - IndyStar IndyStarUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv uses Flamingo missile to bomb space centre and Russian jets - The Independent The IndependentSolo Reload Victory Cup in NA West: Day 3 Day 3 Round 1 - fortnitetracker.com fortnitetracker.comIran War Commander Visits the USS Abraham Lincoln - WSJ WSJWalmart tomato bisque soup recalled over possible Listeria contamination - Fox Business Fox BusinessTrump says he may declare Strait of Hormuz a US territory ‘after we finish defeating Iran’ - foxnews.com foxnews.comUS Democrats finalise major shakeup to 2028 presidential primary calendar - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostDouble jeopardy could spell end of state case after Luigi Mangione’s guilty plea - The Guardian The GuardianRescuers search for survivors of powerful Indonesia earthquake - BBC BBCWoman claims her stepfather used Grok to transform childhood photo into explicit imagery - TechCrunch TechCrunchMassive egg recall in US south and south-west due to salmonella outbreak - The Guardian The Guardian$10 Million in Gold Found Buried Under Former Brewery in Belgium - The New York Times The New York TimesQatar denies it is detaining three Iranian bomber pilots - Al Jazeera Al Jazeera
–
Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 16, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 34%NO 66%

SpaceX to launch classified Space Force mission from California - KTLA

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
YES 44%NO 56%

Gemini 3.7 Flash is here — and this prompt proves why it's known as Google's 'workhorse' - Tom's Guide

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5
YES 34%NO 66%

Israeli Strikes in Lebanon Kill 11, Health Officials Say - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Trump heads into general election season with string of primary losses - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Trump heads into general election season with string of primary losses - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 19%NO 81%

Trump heads into general election season with string of primary losses - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 20%NO 80%

Trump heads into general election season with string of primary losses - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump heads into general election season with string of primary losses - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.