Live
Russia warns Britain of 'consequences' for supplying drones to Ukraine - Reuters ReutersUkraine war live: Kyiv launches one of biggest attacks yet on Moscow with 620 drones - The Independent The IndependentAsian stocks retreat as oil, yields rise; Nikkei, KOSPI lead losses - Investing.com Investing.comStudent kills schoolmate and himself in livestreamed Philippine school attack, official says - AP News AP NewsUS 30-year yields hit highest level since 2007 as war, oil worries fester - Reuters ReutersStock futures are little changed after Wall Street starts the week with losses, hurt by higher oil prices and rising yields: Live updates - CNBC CNBCDems plan Oman war powers push after Trump threatens bombing - Axios AxiosThe 30-year Treasury yield just hit a 19-year high. Three things could drive it even higher - CNBC CNBCU.S. Navy destroyer lost power for 4 days in South China Sea - The Washington Post The Washington PostSouth Korea must brace for ‘worst-case scenario,’ President Lee says, as Trump cuts military drills - CNBC CNBCZambia’s President Hakainde Hichilema wins second term - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraJudge delays Mangione’s state trial after lawyers sought dismissal - The Washington Post The Washington Post60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostKushner urges Netanyahu to test Hamas disarmament in Gaza - Axios AxiosRussia warns Britain of 'consequences' for supplying drones to Ukraine - Reuters ReutersUkraine war live: Kyiv launches one of biggest attacks yet on Moscow with 620 drones - The Independent The IndependentAsian stocks retreat as oil, yields rise; Nikkei, KOSPI lead losses - Investing.com Investing.comStudent kills schoolmate and himself in livestreamed Philippine school attack, official says - AP News AP NewsUS 30-year yields hit highest level since 2007 as war, oil worries fester - Reuters ReutersStock futures are little changed after Wall Street starts the week with losses, hurt by higher oil prices and rising yields: Live updates - CNBC CNBCDems plan Oman war powers push after Trump threatens bombing - Axios AxiosThe 30-year Treasury yield just hit a 19-year high. Three things could drive it even higher - CNBC CNBCU.S. Navy destroyer lost power for 4 days in South China Sea - The Washington Post The Washington PostSouth Korea must brace for ‘worst-case scenario,’ President Lee says, as Trump cuts military drills - CNBC CNBCZambia’s President Hakainde Hichilema wins second term - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraJudge delays Mangione’s state trial after lawyers sought dismissal - The Washington Post The Washington Post60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostKushner urges Netanyahu to test Hamas disarmament in Gaza - Axios Axios
–
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

SpaceX just launched a secret payload from California - Teslarati

View on Polymarket →
Economy
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winner
YES 36%NO 64%

Global corgis gather for cutest costume contest and annual high-speed race - nypost.com

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
YES 6%NO 94%

Ship attacked in Hormuz Strait as U.S.-Iran ceasefire expiry risks prolonged conflict - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?
YES 80%NO 20%

Spotify’s new Playlist Notes let users and editors explain their song picks - TechCrunch

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 14%NO 86%

Spotify’s new Playlist Notes let users and editors explain their song picks - TechCrunch

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 40%NO 60%

South Korea must brace for ‘worst-case scenario,’ President Lee says, as Trump cuts military drills - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
YES 56%NO 44%

Hours after American Airlines Chicago airport emergency, United flight 739 suffers tire damage while landing at O'Hare airport - ABC7 Chicago

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 78%NO 22%

Rockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - usatoday.com

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.