Live
US-Iran ceasefire set to expire as Trump admin meets with Israel's Netanyahu - Fox News Fox NewsLas Vegas gang leader masterminded Tupac's drive-by killing, prosecutor tells jury - Reuters ReutersStock Market Today: Dow Slips; AI Stocks, Iran Tensions in Focus — Live Updates - WSJ WSJUS Navy destroyer adrift in South China Sea for four days after losing power - The Guardian The GuardianMeta heads to trial over alleged social media addiction, risks to children - foxbusiness.com foxbusiness.comCambridge chancellor criticises 'racist feeding frenzy' around Jason Arday - BBC BBCOssoff targets a close Trump aide, launching a personal feud with the White House as midterms loom - CNN CNNLive Updates: Trump threatens to bomb Oman with Iran war stuck in stalemate as 60-day negotiation period ends - CBS News CBS NewsApple releases iOS 26.6.1 for iPhone, here’s what’s new - 9to5Mac 9to5MacL3Harris ousts CEO Kubasik over conduct breach, names insider Mehta as replacement - Reuters ReutersAndreessen Horowitz Focus of DOJ Probe Over Board Directors - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comYouTube is changing how it counts views to give the numbers a boost - The Verge The VergeGamescom 2026 Opening Night Live: Time, Date & How To Watch - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeTeen lifeguard who saved boy at Seabright Beach to meet President Trump at White House - KSBW KSBWUS-Iran ceasefire set to expire as Trump admin meets with Israel's Netanyahu - Fox News Fox NewsLas Vegas gang leader masterminded Tupac's drive-by killing, prosecutor tells jury - Reuters ReutersStock Market Today: Dow Slips; AI Stocks, Iran Tensions in Focus — Live Updates - WSJ WSJUS Navy destroyer adrift in South China Sea for four days after losing power - The Guardian The GuardianMeta heads to trial over alleged social media addiction, risks to children - foxbusiness.com foxbusiness.comCambridge chancellor criticises 'racist feeding frenzy' around Jason Arday - BBC BBCOssoff targets a close Trump aide, launching a personal feud with the White House as midterms loom - CNN CNNLive Updates: Trump threatens to bomb Oman with Iran war stuck in stalemate as 60-day negotiation period ends - CBS News CBS NewsApple releases iOS 26.6.1 for iPhone, here’s what’s new - 9to5Mac 9to5MacL3Harris ousts CEO Kubasik over conduct breach, names insider Mehta as replacement - Reuters ReutersAndreessen Horowitz Focus of DOJ Probe Over Board Directors - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comYouTube is changing how it counts views to give the numbers a boost - The Verge The VergeGamescom 2026 Opening Night Live: Time, Date & How To Watch - Nintendo Life Nintendo LifeTeen lifeguard who saved boy at Seabright Beach to meet President Trump at White House - KSBW KSBW
–
Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 17, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

Billionaire founder agrees with Elon Musk, Sam Altman and Jeff Bezos: We will work in space - Fortune

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
YES 16%NO 84%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

Ossoff targets a close Trump aide, launching a personal feud with the White House as midterms loom - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Ossoff targets a close Trump aide, launching a personal feud with the White House as midterms loom - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 36%NO 64%

Teen lifeguard who saved boy at Seabright Beach to meet President Trump at White House - KSBW

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?
YES 42%NO 58%

Live Updates: Trump threatens to bomb Oman with Iran war stuck in stalemate as 60-day negotiation period ends - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Economy
AS Anagénnisi Kardítsas vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis: Team to Take First Corner
YES 10%NO 90%

Buc-ee's opens first Arkansas location as chain expands across US - foxbusiness.com

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 13%NO 87%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.