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Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 17, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

James Webb spotted a bizarre object just 660 million years after the Big Bang that looks like an enormous star but shines with roughly 100 billion Suns' worth of energy — because hidden inside its star-like cocoon is an accreting black hole, rather than a core - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 78%NO 22%

Rockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
YES 48%NO 52%

Buc-ee's opens first Arkansas location as chain expands across US - Fox Business

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 18%NO 82%

Zambia's president extends election lead, opposition cries fraud - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Science
Valantis FDV above $300M one day after launch?
YES 14%NO 86%

Rockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 12%NO 88%

Russia Supreme Court Upholds Yabloko Ban , Sentences Deputy Chairman to 11 Years in Prison

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

White House fires back at ‘theater kid’ Ossoff - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

White House fires back at ‘theater kid’ Ossoff - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.