Live
Stock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts three-week win streak: Live updates - CNBC CNBCTrump says US to scale back military drills with South Korea after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC BBCMárcio Souza : Hora de aplicar a zerésima gaz.com.brFuerzas armadas vigilan centros comerciales de Mazatlán ; ciudadanos se dicen más seguros oem.com.mxOs nossos tempos : Mudar : método observador.pt实景娱乐拓宽 表演 边界 NPC带火千年古城 stcn.comVacunación en Bogotá : puntos habilitados , requisitos y nuevas vacunas este 17 de agosto 2026 pulzo.comIf Meta loses this trial , Instagram and Facebook could change forever bbc.co.ukPháp hỗ trợ nông dân chặt bỏ gần 28 . 000 ha nho baotintuc.vnLetters for Monday , August 17 , 2026 dailygazette.comMore than bats and balls : what are prediction market , and why they could be the next trillion - dollar industry switzer.com.auEuropa , 2 . 156 kilómetros de vallas para impedir la inmigración ilegal eldiariomontanes.es美 , 지난 5월 이란 혁수대 사령관과 비밀 접촉 … 회담은 무산 koreatimes.com联盟照顾76人 ? 背靠背+4天3赛均为联盟最少 : 詹姆斯与恩比德受益 163.comStock futures are little changed after S&P 500 posts three-week win streak: Live updates - CNBC CNBCTrump says US to scale back military drills with South Korea after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC BBCMárcio Souza : Hora de aplicar a zerésima gaz.com.brFuerzas armadas vigilan centros comerciales de Mazatlán ; ciudadanos se dicen más seguros oem.com.mxOs nossos tempos : Mudar : método observador.pt实景娱乐拓宽 表演 边界 NPC带火千年古城 stcn.comVacunación en Bogotá : puntos habilitados , requisitos y nuevas vacunas este 17 de agosto 2026 pulzo.comIf Meta loses this trial , Instagram and Facebook could change forever bbc.co.ukPháp hỗ trợ nông dân chặt bỏ gần 28 . 000 ha nho baotintuc.vnLetters for Monday , August 17 , 2026 dailygazette.comMore than bats and balls : what are prediction market , and why they could be the next trillion - dollar industry switzer.com.auEuropa , 2 . 156 kilómetros de vallas para impedir la inmigración ilegal eldiariomontanes.es美 , 지난 5월 이란 혁수대 사령관과 비밀 접촉 … 회담은 무산 koreatimes.com联盟照顾76人 ? 背靠背+4天3赛均为联盟最少 : 詹姆斯与恩比德受益 163.com
Crowd intelligence · Monday, August 17, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump says US to scale back military drills with South Korea after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 30%NO 70%

Starship's 33 engines push down with 74,400 kilonewtons at liftoff — roughly twice the force of the Saturn V that sent humans to the Moon, yet the whole vehicle is designed to be caught like a falling pencil and flown again the next day - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump says US to scale back military drills with South Korea after it stayed out of Iran war - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
YES 16%NO 84%

Here’s the real reason oil prices aren’t moving higher - MarketWatch

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
YES 94%NO 6%

Trump says White House needs ‘military complex’ as courts block his ballroom - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Trump says White House needs ‘military complex’ as courts block his ballroom - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 82%NO 18%

Brazil: Lula, Bolsonaro return to strongholds to launch runs for president - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Science
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?
YES 79%NO 21%

Brazil: Lula, Bolsonaro return to strongholds to launch runs for president - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.