Live
Fire Near Reno, Nev., Prompts Evacuations of Homes and Hospitals - The New York Times The New York TimesPeople Are Sharing Beautiful, Day-Brightening Facts That Sound Totally Made Up, But Are Actually 100% True - BuzzFeed BuzzFeedA landslide at a landfill in the capital of Guinea kills 30 people, officials say - AP News AP NewsIndonesian police arrest 72 people suspected of starting forest fires - AP News AP NewsHolding election in wartime would risk destroying Ukraine, says Zelenskyy - The Guardian The GuardianHugging Face has been fielding M&A interest for a deal worth at least $13 billion - Business Insider Business InsiderTrump says Canada wants 'benefits' of being US state after trade talks collapse - BBC BBCHakeem Jeffries and Jared Kushner meet in NYC to discuss how Democrats and Trump could cooperate - NBC News NBC NewsThe ‘GTA 6’ Leaks Get Higher Quality With No End In Sight - Forbes ForbesM6 iMac Coming This Year in New Colors - MacRumors MacRumorsNVIDIA GeForce On returns August 25, DLSS 4.5 Ray Reconstruction release expected - VideoCardz.com VideoCardz.comLindsay Clancy’s murder trial has captured the nation’s attention. Here’s why. - NBC News NBC NewsKevin Warsh seeks to soothe investors’ nerves as signs of economic strain mount - Financial Times Financial TimesChina abruptly postpones ambitious lunar mission - Politico PoliticoFire Near Reno, Nev., Prompts Evacuations of Homes and Hospitals - The New York Times The New York TimesPeople Are Sharing Beautiful, Day-Brightening Facts That Sound Totally Made Up, But Are Actually 100% True - BuzzFeed BuzzFeedA landslide at a landfill in the capital of Guinea kills 30 people, officials say - AP News AP NewsIndonesian police arrest 72 people suspected of starting forest fires - AP News AP NewsHolding election in wartime would risk destroying Ukraine, says Zelenskyy - The Guardian The GuardianHugging Face has been fielding M&A interest for a deal worth at least $13 billion - Business Insider Business InsiderTrump says Canada wants 'benefits' of being US state after trade talks collapse - BBC BBCHakeem Jeffries and Jared Kushner meet in NYC to discuss how Democrats and Trump could cooperate - NBC News NBC NewsThe ‘GTA 6’ Leaks Get Higher Quality With No End In Sight - Forbes ForbesM6 iMac Coming This Year in New Colors - MacRumors MacRumorsNVIDIA GeForce On returns August 25, DLSS 4.5 Ray Reconstruction release expected - VideoCardz.com VideoCardz.comLindsay Clancy’s murder trial has captured the nation’s attention. Here’s why. - NBC News NBC NewsKevin Warsh seeks to soothe investors’ nerves as signs of economic strain mount - Financial Times Financial TimesChina abruptly postpones ambitious lunar mission - Politico Politico
–
Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 23, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Trump say "God" this week?
YES 85%NO 15%

Trump says Canada wants 'benefits' of being US state after trade talks collapse - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 57%NO 43%

El-Sayed under fire online after taking aim at Usha Vance, female Trump aide in weekend social media posts - Fox News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
YES 20%NO 80%

Trump says Canada wants 'benefits' of being US state after trade talks collapse - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Apple
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YES 75%NO 25%

Prediction: Nvidia Will Be a $6 Trillion Company Before 2026 Is Over and Its Run Kickstarts This Week - The Motley Fool

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 21%NO 79%

Hakeem Jeffries and Jared Kushner meet in NYC to discuss how Democrats and Trump could cooperate - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 14%NO 86%

Trump’s ICE pick is stuck in the Senate — and DHS officials are relieved - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
YES 14%NO 86%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%

Pete Buttigieg returns to first-in-the-nation South Carolina with a fresh appeal to Black voters - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.