Live
I work with athletes. Here’s how I evaluate exercise gadgets and supplements. - The Washington Post The Washington PostBrazil's Lula launches reelection bid, aims to win back workers to his Workers Party - Reuters ReutersA Free-for-All in Alaska as 17 Candidates Compete to Be Governor - The New York Times The New York TimesThe path to student loan forgiveness just got longer - Politico PoliticoWhat really happened in Ceuta? Why we may never find out - NPR NPRFormer Joint Chiefs chair: Truth about issues on USS Abraham Lincoln ‘somewhere in the middle’ - The Hill The HillBelgium faces largest wildfire on record, turns to Europe for air support - politico.eu politico.euRescuers in Indonesia recover 6 more bodies in earthquake aftermath, raising death toll to 53 - AP News AP NewsKentucky Gov. Andy Beshear says he's "heard absolutely nothing back from Mitch McConnell" - CBS News CBS NewsCalls for public inquiry into Jason Arday 'witchhunt' - BBC BBCBritish drones used in Ukrainian attacks deep inside Russia for first time, says report - The Independent The IndependentStock-Market Calm Masks Fast Shifting Investor Sentiment - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comMaker of ice cream sold at grocery stores nationwide files for bankruptcy as it appeals $23.8M judgment - Fox Business Fox BusinessAttorney General Todd Blanche says the DOJ may take states’ voter roll fight to Supreme Court - NBC News NBC NewsI work with athletes. Here’s how I evaluate exercise gadgets and supplements. - The Washington Post The Washington PostBrazil's Lula launches reelection bid, aims to win back workers to his Workers Party - Reuters ReutersA Free-for-All in Alaska as 17 Candidates Compete to Be Governor - The New York Times The New York TimesThe path to student loan forgiveness just got longer - Politico PoliticoWhat really happened in Ceuta? Why we may never find out - NPR NPRFormer Joint Chiefs chair: Truth about issues on USS Abraham Lincoln ‘somewhere in the middle’ - The Hill The HillBelgium faces largest wildfire on record, turns to Europe for air support - politico.eu politico.euRescuers in Indonesia recover 6 more bodies in earthquake aftermath, raising death toll to 53 - AP News AP NewsKentucky Gov. Andy Beshear says he's "heard absolutely nothing back from Mitch McConnell" - CBS News CBS NewsCalls for public inquiry into Jason Arday 'witchhunt' - BBC BBCBritish drones used in Ukrainian attacks deep inside Russia for first time, says report - The Independent The IndependentStock-Market Calm Masks Fast Shifting Investor Sentiment - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comMaker of ice cream sold at grocery stores nationwide files for bankruptcy as it appeals $23.8M judgment - Fox Business Fox BusinessAttorney General Todd Blanche says the DOJ may take states’ voter roll fight to Supreme Court - NBC News NBC News
–
Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 16, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
YES 38%NO 62%

At AI-Fueled Market Party, Wall Street Eyes the Rates Punch Bowl - Bloomberg.com

View on Polymarket →
Science · Space
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
YES 22%NO 78%

New record! SpaceX launches 2 Falcon 9 rockets just 38 minutes apart (video) - space.com

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Ukrainian drone attack on Russia kills at least six, says Moscow - theguardian.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
YES 8%NO 92%

Trump’s legal team shrinks - Politico

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
YES 26%NO 74%

IDF troops stood by as West Bank settlers besieged Palestinian homes - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will FURIA Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 34%NO 66%

Trump-linked crypto venture World Liberty Trust granted bank status in unprecedented move for president - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

SC to hold first 2028 Democratic primary. What it means for candidates - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.