Live
At least 1 student among 5 people shot at Virginia State University as police investigate - WTOP WTOPLive updates: SpaceX rocket launch from Cape Canaveral to bring Saturday night sonic booms - Florida Today Florida TodayUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv uses Flamingo missile to bomb space centre and Russian jets - The Independent The IndependentLive flood updates: At least 5 dead from Indiana storms, officials say - IndyStar IndyStarTakaichi skips controversial shrine on 81st anniversary of Japan's World War II surrender - Politico PoliticoSaber CEO Apologizes To Lead Writer Replaced With ChatGPT After Weeklong Crashout - Kotaku KotakuIran War Commander Visits the USS Abraham Lincoln - WSJ WSJNot Asus, Not MSI: Consumer Reports Says This Laptop Brand Is The Most Reliable - bgr.com bgr.comCyclospora spreads through human waste — so how did it get on food? - PBS PBSIran responds after Trump teases Strait of Hormuz becoming US territory - foxnews.com foxnews.comUS Democrats finalise major shakeup to 2028 presidential primary calendar - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostDouble jeopardy could spell end of state case after Luigi Mangione’s guilty plea - The Guardian The GuardianBerkshire Hathaway boosted stake in Alphabet, homebuilders in the second quarter - AP News AP NewsAt least 1 student among 5 people shot at Virginia State University as police investigate - WTOP WTOPLive updates: SpaceX rocket launch from Cape Canaveral to bring Saturday night sonic booms - Florida Today Florida TodayUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv uses Flamingo missile to bomb space centre and Russian jets - The Independent The IndependentLive flood updates: At least 5 dead from Indiana storms, officials say - IndyStar IndyStarTakaichi skips controversial shrine on 81st anniversary of Japan's World War II surrender - Politico PoliticoSaber CEO Apologizes To Lead Writer Replaced With ChatGPT After Weeklong Crashout - Kotaku KotakuIran War Commander Visits the USS Abraham Lincoln - WSJ WSJNot Asus, Not MSI: Consumer Reports Says This Laptop Brand Is The Most Reliable - bgr.com bgr.comCyclospora spreads through human waste — so how did it get on food? - PBS PBSIran responds after Trump teases Strait of Hormuz becoming US territory - foxnews.com foxnews.comUS Democrats finalise major shakeup to 2028 presidential primary calendar - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostDouble jeopardy could spell end of state case after Luigi Mangione’s guilty plea - The Guardian The GuardianBerkshire Hathaway boosted stake in Alphabet, homebuilders in the second quarter - AP News AP News
–
Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 16, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

Live updates: SpaceX rocket launch from Cape Canaveral to bring Saturday night sonic booms - Florida Today

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
YES 44%NO 56%

Inflation moderated as Intel and Nvidia fueled the AI trade in last week's market - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 18%NO 82%

Iran responds after Trump teases Strait of Hormuz becoming US territory - foxnews.com

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv uses Flamingo missile to bomb space centre and Russian jets - The Independent

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
YES 6%NO 94%

EXCLUSIVE: Anthropic IPO valuation hinges on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue forecast, sources say - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Economy
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
YES 14%NO 86%

RDDT soars on S&P 500 inclusion, but symmetrical triangle holds (RDDT:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 37%NO 63%

Trump-linked crypto venture World Liberty Trust granted bank status in unprecedented move for president - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Reform UK's Nigel Farage beats a slate of fringe candidates in election boycotted by major parties - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.