Live
The bond market is sounding an alarm. Here’s what it means. - The Washington Post The Washington PostBenčić o slučaju Gospić : Nije dovoljno da ode neki ćato . Mora otići onaj tko je stvorio ovaj sustav , a to je Andrej Plenković glasistre.hrGet ready for the new academic year with these back - to - school essentials the-independent.comOriente Occidente di Rampini | « Il primo Woke ? È stato folle »: Alexandria Ocasio - Cortez vuole la Casa Bianca corriere.itКитайская автомарка Livan заявила об отсутствии планов покидать Россию iz.ruUn început de toamnă mai echilibrat : 3 obiceiuri sănătoase pentru întreaga familie radardemedia.roDigjen 15 shtëpi dhe objekte në fshatin Çanishtë afër Prilepit ora24.tvDyadic International ( DYAI ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript finance.yahoo.comTrump delays 50 per cent tariffs on Canada for three days castanetkamloops.netDemocratic socialist Angie Nixon won Tuesday primary in Florida . Can she win in November ? dailyadvance.com2026年了 , 跨境账号还是总被指纹检测拦下 ? 聊聊我的排查复盘 - 日薪月亿 的部落格 blog.udn.comMerzden Ben Gvire sert kınama haberler.comCollege is still worth it , parents say . They just want more options times-standard.comZelenski destituye a una alta funcionaria de la Presidencia tras una operación anticorrupción abc.esThe bond market is sounding an alarm. Here’s what it means. - The Washington Post The Washington PostBenčić o slučaju Gospić : Nije dovoljno da ode neki ćato . Mora otići onaj tko je stvorio ovaj sustav , a to je Andrej Plenković glasistre.hrGet ready for the new academic year with these back - to - school essentials the-independent.comOriente Occidente di Rampini | « Il primo Woke ? È stato folle »: Alexandria Ocasio - Cortez vuole la Casa Bianca corriere.itКитайская автомарка Livan заявила об отсутствии планов покидать Россию iz.ruUn început de toamnă mai echilibrat : 3 obiceiuri sănătoase pentru întreaga familie radardemedia.roDigjen 15 shtëpi dhe objekte në fshatin Çanishtë afër Prilepit ora24.tvDyadic International ( DYAI ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript finance.yahoo.comTrump delays 50 per cent tariffs on Canada for three days castanetkamloops.netDemocratic socialist Angie Nixon won Tuesday primary in Florida . Can she win in November ? dailyadvance.com2026年了 , 跨境账号还是总被指纹检测拦下 ? 聊聊我的排查复盘 - 日薪月亿 的部落格 blog.udn.comMerzden Ben Gvire sert kınama haberler.comCollege is still worth it , parents say . They just want more options times-standard.comZelenski destituye a una alta funcionaria de la Presidencia tras una operación anticorrupción abc.es
Crowd intelligence · Wednesday, August 19, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 33%NO 67%

NASA's Dragonfly rotorcraft will launch on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy in July 2028 and spend six and a half years crossing the solar system to land on a moon that has weather, seasons, rivers and seas — with methane and ethane flowing across its surface inste - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump say "Prediction Market" this week?
YES 78%NO 22%

Top economist on Trump’s ‘deadly cocktail’ for the bond market—and how the bond vigilantes have crossed Scott Bessent’s ‘red line’ - finance.yahoo.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 14%NO 86%

‘I’m Not That Informed on National Security,’ Graham Says in South Carolina Debate - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI Models
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?
YES 17%NO 83%

Google begins rolling out Android’s controversial new sideloading flow - Android Authority

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NBA
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 13%NO 87%

NBA 2K27 Announces New Gameplay Features in Videos from Global Game Reveal - Bleacher Report

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?
YES 43%NO 57%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 35%NO 65%

Zambia President Hakainde Hichilema is declared the winner of a troubled election - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 14%NO 86%

U.S. Senate race will have two Dan Sullivans and a Mary Peltola - Alaska Public Media

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.