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Indonesian police arrest 72 people suspected of starting forest fires - AP News AP News‘We are hitting a different chapter’: OpenAI leader warns of threat of ‘persistent’ AI cyber-attacks - The Guardian The GuardianHolding election in wartime would risk destroying Ukraine, says Zelenskyy - The Guardian The GuardianGurman: iPhone Ultra Wows Early Testers, Except for Its Camera - MacRumors MacRumorsGuinea rubbish landfill collapse kills 30 in Conakry - BBC BBCIran says new sanctions threatened by 'desperate' US will fail - Reuters ReutersChina abruptly postpones ambitious lunar mission - Politico PoliticoEvacuations ongoing as Hawk Fire grows 10,500+ acres near Peavine; Reno-Stead Airport closed - KTVN KTVNEleven bodies recovered after boat carrying migrants sinks off Tunisia - Reuters ReutersThousands in northwest Indiana still without power nearly two weeks after storm - NPR NPRIndustry analyst says he doesn't see a path back for the Epic Games Store - Eurogamer EurogamerWhat Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times The New York TimesScoop: Syria and Israel move to defuse tensions after airbase bombing - Axios AxiosKazakhstan votes in a parliamentary election expected to strengthen president’s grip on power - AP News AP NewsIndonesian police arrest 72 people suspected of starting forest fires - AP News AP News‘We are hitting a different chapter’: OpenAI leader warns of threat of ‘persistent’ AI cyber-attacks - The Guardian The GuardianHolding election in wartime would risk destroying Ukraine, says Zelenskyy - The Guardian The GuardianGurman: iPhone Ultra Wows Early Testers, Except for Its Camera - MacRumors MacRumorsGuinea rubbish landfill collapse kills 30 in Conakry - BBC BBCIran says new sanctions threatened by 'desperate' US will fail - Reuters ReutersChina abruptly postpones ambitious lunar mission - Politico PoliticoEvacuations ongoing as Hawk Fire grows 10,500+ acres near Peavine; Reno-Stead Airport closed - KTVN KTVNEleven bodies recovered after boat carrying migrants sinks off Tunisia - Reuters ReutersThousands in northwest Indiana still without power nearly two weeks after storm - NPR NPRIndustry analyst says he doesn't see a path back for the Epic Games Store - Eurogamer EurogamerWhat Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times The New York TimesScoop: Syria and Israel move to defuse tensions after airbase bombing - Axios AxiosKazakhstan votes in a parliamentary election expected to strengthen president’s grip on power - AP News AP News
Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 23, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · House
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
YES 14%NO 86%

Parents who lost son in fraternity hazing say Penn State chapter needs to clean house after drug ring arrests - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Apple
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YES 76%NO 24%

Prediction: Nvidia Will Be a $6 Trillion Company Before 2026 Is Over and Its Run Kickstarts This Week - The Motley Fool

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Parents who lost son in fraternity hazing say Penn State chapter needs to clean house after drug ring arrests - NBC News

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Iran says new sanctions threatened by 'desperate' US will fail - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%

Becerra, running for governor of California, faces a health insurance problem - NPR

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump say "God" this week?
YES 85%NO 15%

What Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week?
YES 57%NO 43%

What Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
YES 24%NO 76%

Is this your first look at the Galaxy S27 Ultra's design? - SamMobile

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.