Live
Dow jumps 500 points, but stocks are still headed for a losing week: Live updates - CNBC CNBCStock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher; Yields Steady; Bitcoin in Focus — Live Updates - WSJ WSJRockstar Rattled As ‘Grand Theft Auto VI’ Leaks Again - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comKen Griffin's Citadel sheds over 80% of Situational Awareness' bets - Reuters ReutersSupreme Court temporarily allows Trump ballroom construction to continue - NBC News NBC NewsIn China’s Biggest Car Recall, Tesla and 8 Others Will Address Door Safety - The New York Times The New York TimesAt least 55 sickened in salmonella, E. coli outbreak linked to sprouts - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and VideosTrump Announces Move to Lift Ground Beef Tariffs in Bid to Lower Prices - The New York Times The New York TimesMan armed with sword injures several people at Swedish high school - Reuters ReutersMy Wife Just Told Me She Wants to Use Donor Sperm for Our Baby. Her Reason Is Extremely Hurtful. - Slate Magazine Slate MagazineTrump lawyer to liberal think tank: Retract National Guard report that defames president - The Hill The HillUS borrowing costs rise as attempts to ease rates prove short-lived - BBC BBCHere's how America's $40 trillion debt can hit your wallet - Axios AxiosGermany investigates Russia links to weapons cache discovered in woods, reports say - BBC BBCDow jumps 500 points, but stocks are still headed for a losing week: Live updates - CNBC CNBCStock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher; Yields Steady; Bitcoin in Focus — Live Updates - WSJ WSJRockstar Rattled As ‘Grand Theft Auto VI’ Leaks Again - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comKen Griffin's Citadel sheds over 80% of Situational Awareness' bets - Reuters ReutersSupreme Court temporarily allows Trump ballroom construction to continue - NBC News NBC NewsIn China’s Biggest Car Recall, Tesla and 8 Others Will Address Door Safety - The New York Times The New York TimesAt least 55 sickened in salmonella, E. coli outbreak linked to sprouts - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and VideosTrump Announces Move to Lift Ground Beef Tariffs in Bid to Lower Prices - The New York Times The New York TimesMan armed with sword injures several people at Swedish high school - Reuters ReutersMy Wife Just Told Me She Wants to Use Donor Sperm for Our Baby. Her Reason Is Extremely Hurtful. - Slate Magazine Slate MagazineTrump lawyer to liberal think tank: Retract National Guard report that defames president - The Hill The HillUS borrowing costs rise as attempts to ease rates prove short-lived - BBC BBCHere's how America's $40 trillion debt can hit your wallet - Axios AxiosGermany investigates Russia links to weapons cache discovered in woods, reports say - BBC BBC
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Crowd intelligence · Friday, August 21, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
YES 56%NO 44%

Google Discover is getting an AI chatbot-tuned feed - The Verge

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 14%NO 86%

Key European leaders demand Israel halt West Bank settlement project - Euronews.com

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 31%NO 69%

Trump lawyer to liberal think tank: Retract National Guard report that defames president - The Hill

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

US Army to shut down unit in Europe focused on drone warfare in latest shakeup - The Independent

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Why Treasury Secretary Bessent’s moves to calm the bond market haven’t worked so far - AP News

View on Polymarket →
Science
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 24%NO 76%

Scrub! SpaceX halts Starlink launch countdown with just 28 seconds left - Florida Today

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will Arthur Fils Win the Cincinnati Open?
YES 35%NO 65%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.