Live
Top US Middle East commander visits deployed aircraft carrier, and other Mideast news - AP News AP NewsTrump threatens to make the Strait of Hormuz a US territory: Can he? - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraUkraine targets Moscow in mass drone attack as Russia bombards Kyiv - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraNATO fighter jet shoots down drone over Romania - politico.eu politico.euTrump’s legal team shrinks - Politico PoliticoIran Says Pilots Missing After a Brazen Bombing Run Are Prisoners in Qatar - WSJ WSJUkraine presses drone attacks on Moscow and Russian logistics - ft.com ft.comIs your 1982 penny worth $20,000? Probably not, here's why - USA Today USA TodayInstagram vowed to crack down on Meta glasses creeps. A month later, it was easy to find dozens of the videos still up. - Business Insider Business InsiderYears of Trump Support Came Undone in 15 Minutes in an Airport. - The New York Times The New York TimesTrump’s Other Hold on the Americas: The Visa - The New York Times The New York TimesThis platform gives you ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, and 17+ other AI models for life for $54.97 - Mashable MashableAt least one killed as Hurricane Lala slams Hawaiian Islands with violent flash flooding, sweeping homes away - FOX Weather FOX WeatherT-Mobile is giving away the Apple iPhone 17 for free this weekend — how to claim - Mashable MashableTop US Middle East commander visits deployed aircraft carrier, and other Mideast news - AP News AP NewsTrump threatens to make the Strait of Hormuz a US territory: Can he? - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraUkraine targets Moscow in mass drone attack as Russia bombards Kyiv - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraNATO fighter jet shoots down drone over Romania - politico.eu politico.euTrump’s legal team shrinks - Politico PoliticoIran Says Pilots Missing After a Brazen Bombing Run Are Prisoners in Qatar - WSJ WSJUkraine presses drone attacks on Moscow and Russian logistics - ft.com ft.comIs your 1982 penny worth $20,000? Probably not, here's why - USA Today USA TodayInstagram vowed to crack down on Meta glasses creeps. A month later, it was easy to find dozens of the videos still up. - Business Insider Business InsiderYears of Trump Support Came Undone in 15 Minutes in an Airport. - The New York Times The New York TimesTrump’s Other Hold on the Americas: The Visa - The New York Times The New York TimesThis platform gives you ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, and 17+ other AI models for life for $54.97 - Mashable MashableAt least one killed as Hurricane Lala slams Hawaiian Islands with violent flash flooding, sweeping homes away - FOX Weather FOX WeatherT-Mobile is giving away the Apple iPhone 17 for free this weekend — how to claim - Mashable Mashable
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Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 16, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Tech & AI · AI
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
YES 44%NO 56%

Bond Traders Are Agonizing Over $70 Billion of Shadow Credit Backstops For AI Companies - Bloomberg.com

View on Polymarket →
Science · Space
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
YES 20%NO 80%

SpaceX’s Starship generates more than twice the thrust of the Saturn V that carried humans to the Moon, yet after 13 test flights it still hasn’t demonstrated ship-to-ship refueling in orbit — one of the biggest technical hurdles standing between Starship and Mars - Space Daily

View on Polymarket →
World · Russia
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

Ukraine targets Moscow in mass drone attack as Russia bombards Kyiv - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 38%NO 62%

Live flood updates: President Trump approves emergency declaration - IndyStar

View on Polymarket →
Economy
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
YES 54%NO 46%

‘Marvel’s Wolverine’ video game moves away from ‘X-Men’ films and Hugh Jackman with all-new storyline for edgy hero - Page Six

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

SC to hold first 2028 Democratic primary. What it means for candidates - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
YES 41%NO 59%

Deals: Pixel 11 series goes on pre-order, Galaxy Z8 foldables and S26 models drop prices - GSMArena.com news - GSMArena.com

View on Polymarket →
World · Gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
YES 6%NO 94%

Hamas leader heads to Cairo for Gaza talks ahead of Kushner visit - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.