Live
As debt surpasses $40 trillion, the bill for Washington spending comes due - The Washington Post The Washington PostNew Orks Codex exclusive on Warhammer TV - Warhammer Community Warhammer CommunityU.S.-Canada trade talks collapse, setting new 50% tariffs in motion - NBC News NBC NewsUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv hits Russian oil refinery after Putin’s shopping centre strike killed 16 people - The Independent The IndependentPope Leo calls for dialogue over conflict, says young Catholics are a sign of hope - AP News AP NewsGOP lawmakers criticize Trump’s beef import plan amid blowback from ranchers - NBC News NBC NewsSword attack at Swedish school kills 17-year-old girl, injures 3 others, police say - CBS News CBS NewsFather leaves 7-year-old son alone on Mount Fuji to continue hike, reports say - BBC BBCIran says ‘world approved our victory’ over the US - The Hill The HillHow bitcoin and gold went from a slump to an MVP week in just a few days - AP News AP NewsRussian and Ukrainian attacks kill 10 people, a day after deadly shopping mall drone strike - AP News AP NewsAmazon just hiked the prices for Echo, Fire TV, and Kindle products by up to 60 percent - The Verge The VergeSwedish police probe online networks after teenage girl killed in school sword attack - Reuters ReutersAn okay laptop with 16GB of RAM is better than a nice laptop with 8GB, and this $520 HP OmniBook proves it - The Verge The VergeAs debt surpasses $40 trillion, the bill for Washington spending comes due - The Washington Post The Washington PostNew Orks Codex exclusive on Warhammer TV - Warhammer Community Warhammer CommunityU.S.-Canada trade talks collapse, setting new 50% tariffs in motion - NBC News NBC NewsUkraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv hits Russian oil refinery after Putin’s shopping centre strike killed 16 people - The Independent The IndependentPope Leo calls for dialogue over conflict, says young Catholics are a sign of hope - AP News AP NewsGOP lawmakers criticize Trump’s beef import plan amid blowback from ranchers - NBC News NBC NewsSword attack at Swedish school kills 17-year-old girl, injures 3 others, police say - CBS News CBS NewsFather leaves 7-year-old son alone on Mount Fuji to continue hike, reports say - BBC BBCIran says ‘world approved our victory’ over the US - The Hill The HillHow bitcoin and gold went from a slump to an MVP week in just a few days - AP News AP NewsRussian and Ukrainian attacks kill 10 people, a day after deadly shopping mall drone strike - AP News AP NewsAmazon just hiked the prices for Echo, Fire TV, and Kindle products by up to 60 percent - The Verge The VergeSwedish police probe online networks after teenage girl killed in school sword attack - Reuters ReutersAn okay laptop with 16GB of RAM is better than a nice laptop with 8GB, and this $520 HP OmniBook proves it - The Verge The Verge
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Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 22, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Entertainment
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
YES 32%NO 68%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
YES 11%NO 89%

Robot horse and rider steal the spotlight at Chinese conference - BBC

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
YES 26%NO 74%

Robot horse and rider steal the spotlight at Chinese conference - BBC

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Ahead of tough new U.S. sanctions, Iran criticizes 'extraterritorial sovereignty' - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
YES 15%NO 85%

Supreme Court allows Trump's ballroom construction to proceed for now - Axios

View on Polymarket →
Economy · Federal Reserve
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 68%NO 32%

Here’s how Bessent’s newly activist Treasury Department is undercutting the Fed’s Warsh - MarketWatch

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NFL
Will De'Von Achane have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YES 68%NO 32%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Sports · NFL
Will Josh Allen have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YES 74%NO 26%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.