Live
Two students killed in Philippine school shooting - aljazeera.com aljazeera.comUK will support Ukraine "100%" despite Russian warning, PM Burnham says - Reuters ReutersStock Market Today: Global Bond Rout Deepens, Nasdaq Futures Slide - WSJ WSJUkraine war live: Kyiv launches one of biggest attacks yet on Moscow with 620 drones - The Independent The IndependentWhat to watch Tuesday: Redistricting scrambles Florida as Alaska pits Dan Sullivan v. Dan Sullivan - AP News AP NewsSouth Korea president calls for military independence in wake of Trump call to cut joint drills - The Guardian The GuardianThe Blackout That Could Devastate America - The New York Times The New York TimesHome Depot reaffirms guidance amid 'frozen housing market conditions' - CNBC CNBCRockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today USA TodayGlobal bond yields hit multi-decade highs as governments pay the price for U.S.-Iran stalemate - CNBC CNBCOver 170,000 Nonprofits Lost All Their Data. Is Microsoft to Blame? - Slate Magazine Slate MagazineiPhone 18 Pro Max Rumored to Get Exclusive Camera Upgrade - MacRumors MacRumorsChocó, Colombia, Faces Deeper Hardship After an Earthquake - The New York Times The New York TimesFlorida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times The New York TimesTwo students killed in Philippine school shooting - aljazeera.com aljazeera.comUK will support Ukraine "100%" despite Russian warning, PM Burnham says - Reuters ReutersStock Market Today: Global Bond Rout Deepens, Nasdaq Futures Slide - WSJ WSJUkraine war live: Kyiv launches one of biggest attacks yet on Moscow with 620 drones - The Independent The IndependentWhat to watch Tuesday: Redistricting scrambles Florida as Alaska pits Dan Sullivan v. Dan Sullivan - AP News AP NewsSouth Korea president calls for military independence in wake of Trump call to cut joint drills - The Guardian The GuardianThe Blackout That Could Devastate America - The New York Times The New York TimesHome Depot reaffirms guidance amid 'frozen housing market conditions' - CNBC CNBCRockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today USA TodayGlobal bond yields hit multi-decade highs as governments pay the price for U.S.-Iran stalemate - CNBC CNBCOver 170,000 Nonprofits Lost All Their Data. Is Microsoft to Blame? - Slate Magazine Slate MagazineiPhone 18 Pro Max Rumored to Get Exclusive Camera Upgrade - MacRumors MacRumorsChocó, Colombia, Faces Deeper Hardship After an Earthquake - The New York Times The New York TimesFlorida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times The New York Times
–
Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

SpaceX just launched a secret payload from California - Teslarati

View on Polymarket →
Politics
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YES 39%NO 61%

Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 17 2026?
YES 15%NO 85%

Why Meta Platforms Stock Is Falling Today - Yahoo Finance

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
YES 6%NO 94%

Vessel struck by unknown projectile in Strait of Hormuz, crew casualty reported, UKMTO says - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 12%NO 88%

Spotify’s new Playlist Notes let users and editors explain their song picks - TechCrunch

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 18%NO 82%

Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · House
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
YES 80%NO 20%

Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 78%NO 22%

Rockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.