Live
Live updates: US-Iran war; Trump says he ‘did the right thing’ and would ‘never apologize’ - CNN CNNHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostAfter Trump warning, Tehran says Strait of Hormuz 'will remain Iranian - Euronews.com Euronews.comDemocrats Reshape 2028 Presidential Primary Calendar, and Put South Carolina First - The New York Times The New York TimesLala strengthens into a hurricane and bears down on Hawaii’s Big Island with heavy rain, winds - AP News AP NewsFamilies of USS Lincoln crew say Trump should be 'ashamed' of conditions on board - NPR NPRLamborghini Revuelto SV Revealed: V12 Hybrid Tuned For Track Domination - Motor1.com Motor1.comLive flood updates: Residents rescued; flooding expected to move south - IndyStar IndyStarJason Arday, Cambridge professor accused of plagiarism, is found dead - NPR NPRI freed up 10GB of Gmail space in 5 minutes without deleting important emails - Android Police Android PoliceThey were on the plane when Trump secretly left. Here’s what they noticed. - The Washington Post The Washington PostFDA recalls 19 million eggs and warns of death from salmonella outbreak - The Independent The IndependentVictims of Northern Michigan mass shooting range in age from 13 to 53 - MLive.com MLive.comIsraeli Strikes in Lebanon Kill 11, Health Officials Say - The New York Times The New York TimesLive updates: US-Iran war; Trump says he ‘did the right thing’ and would ‘never apologize’ - CNN CNNHow to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died - The Washington Post The Washington PostAfter Trump warning, Tehran says Strait of Hormuz 'will remain Iranian - Euronews.com Euronews.comDemocrats Reshape 2028 Presidential Primary Calendar, and Put South Carolina First - The New York Times The New York TimesLala strengthens into a hurricane and bears down on Hawaii’s Big Island with heavy rain, winds - AP News AP NewsFamilies of USS Lincoln crew say Trump should be 'ashamed' of conditions on board - NPR NPRLamborghini Revuelto SV Revealed: V12 Hybrid Tuned For Track Domination - Motor1.com Motor1.comLive flood updates: Residents rescued; flooding expected to move south - IndyStar IndyStarJason Arday, Cambridge professor accused of plagiarism, is found dead - NPR NPRI freed up 10GB of Gmail space in 5 minutes without deleting important emails - Android Police Android PoliceThey were on the plane when Trump secretly left. Here’s what they noticed. - The Washington Post The Washington PostFDA recalls 19 million eggs and warns of death from salmonella outbreak - The Independent The IndependentVictims of Northern Michigan mass shooting range in age from 13 to 53 - MLive.com MLive.comIsraeli Strikes in Lebanon Kill 11, Health Officials Say - The New York Times The New York Times
–
Crowd intelligence · Saturday, August 15, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?
YES 87%NO 13%

Americans sour on Donald Trump’s economy as affordability strains intensify - Financial Times

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · AI
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%

Anthropic revenue reportedly jumps to more than $11.5 billion in second quarter - CNBC

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES 19%NO 81%

Democrats Reshape 2028 Presidential Primary Calendar, and Put South Carolina First - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES 26%NO 74%

Live updates: US-Iran war; Trump says he ‘did the right thing’ and would ‘never apologize’ - CNN

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?
YES 6%NO 94%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES 9%NO 91%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES 16%NO 84%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Senate
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES 20%NO 80%

Count Binface wins hearts, if not the election, in bid to defeat Trump ally Nigel Farage in U.K. - CBS News

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.