Live
Trump laying groundwork to impose national emergency by sowing election distrust - The Guardian The GuardianWhat Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times The New York TimesThe U.S. Start-Up Making Low-Cost Interceptors for the Iran War - The New York Times The New York TimesBody cam shows federal agent was 'unjustified' in Memphis shooting, attorney says - NPR NPRZelensky has 'questions to answer' about corruption in his government, sacked minister tells BBC - BBC BBCPutin will draft 300,000 new troops after September elections, Zelenskiy says - Reuters ReutersVideo: Metal Gear Solid 4 Side-By-Side Graphics Comparison (Switch 2, PS5, PS3) - Nintendo Life Nintendo Life15-year-old arrested in deadly shooting at Independence High football game - KBAK KBAKIran warns of retaliation against countries joining US ‘economic war’ - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraBuc-ee’s chain draws outcry in Ohio for launching fight over a mini mart’s beaver logo - AP News AP NewsAlibaba plans $10 billion Hong Kong share placement to fund AI spending - Reuters ReutersLatest 'GTA 6' leaks reveal strip club setting and new slow-motion camera - Mashable MashableTexas judge denies Karmelo Anthony’s request for new trial in deadly stabbing at track meet - AP News AP NewsSurveys at the Ivanpah solar site in the Mojave predicted at most 32 desert tortoises, and crews then unearthed close to 1,000, halted construction for three months and spent 56 million dollars relocating them, with one juvenile carried off to an eagle nest, micro - Space Daily Space DailyTrump laying groundwork to impose national emergency by sowing election distrust - The Guardian The GuardianWhat Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times The New York TimesThe U.S. Start-Up Making Low-Cost Interceptors for the Iran War - The New York Times The New York TimesBody cam shows federal agent was 'unjustified' in Memphis shooting, attorney says - NPR NPRZelensky has 'questions to answer' about corruption in his government, sacked minister tells BBC - BBC BBCPutin will draft 300,000 new troops after September elections, Zelenskiy says - Reuters ReutersVideo: Metal Gear Solid 4 Side-By-Side Graphics Comparison (Switch 2, PS5, PS3) - Nintendo Life Nintendo Life15-year-old arrested in deadly shooting at Independence High football game - KBAK KBAKIran warns of retaliation against countries joining US ‘economic war’ - Al Jazeera Al JazeeraBuc-ee’s chain draws outcry in Ohio for launching fight over a mini mart’s beaver logo - AP News AP NewsAlibaba plans $10 billion Hong Kong share placement to fund AI spending - Reuters ReutersLatest 'GTA 6' leaks reveal strip club setting and new slow-motion camera - Mashable MashableTexas judge denies Karmelo Anthony’s request for new trial in deadly stabbing at track meet - AP News AP NewsSurveys at the Ivanpah solar site in the Mojave predicted at most 32 desert tortoises, and crews then unearthed close to 1,000, halted construction for three months and spent 56 million dollars relocating them, with one juvenile carried off to an eagle nest, micro - Space Daily Space Daily
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Crowd intelligence · Sunday, August 23, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Politics · Trump
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
YES 19%NO 81%

What Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Trump
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?
YES 68%NO 32%

What Canadian Goods Will Take Trump’s 50% Tariffs? Some Pretty Strange Items. - The New York Times

View on Polymarket →
Tech & AI · Apple
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YES 76%NO 24%

Robot archer lights up 'Zhixin' as 2nd World Humanoid Robot Games open in Beijing - Global Times

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?
YES 5%NO 95%

15-year-old arrested in deadly shooting at Independence High football game - KBAK

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%

Iran warns of retaliation against countries joining US ‘economic war’ - Al Jazeera

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 0.5
YES 34%NO 66%

‘GTA 6’ Leaker Has Now Reached A Strip Club As Rockstar Scrambles - Forbes

View on Polymarket →
Sports
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
YES 50%NO 50%

Russian ‘double-tap’ attack on Ukrainian shopping mall kills at least 16 - Financial Times

View on Polymarket →
Politics · Election
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
YES 64%NO 36%

Trump laying groundwork to impose national emergency by sowing election distrust - The Guardian

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.