Live
60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostLake Powell Hits Lowest Level On Record As Water Crisis Continues - The New York Times The New York TimesStock Market News, Aug. 17, 2026: 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Fresh High - wsj.com wsj.comRain aids fight against Belgium's biggest wildfire, as blazes rip through Europe - Reuters ReutersCalifornia regulators approve new rules limiting what replacement tires you can buy for your car - KCRA KCRATrump administration briefly pauses contentious border project in Texas' Big Bend National Park - AP News AP NewsRockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today USA TodayFact check: Every single part of this Trump story about South Korea is wrong - CNN CNNTrump threatens to bomb Oman if it ‘gets in the way’ - The Washington Post The Washington PostLindsay Clancy 'had thoughts of harming the children,' her mother testifies in murder trial - WCVB WCVBMeta Stares Down Trillion-Dollar Threat as Landmark Social Media Trial Begins - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comLive Coverage: 2026 Pro Farmer Crop Tour kicks off after record rainfall, flooding in eastern Corn Belt - Pro Farmer Pro FarmerApple iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Discounted Day Re-Enters The September Schedule - Forbes ForbesParamount wants a $1.9 billion bond from state AGs fighting the Warner Bros. merger - CNN CNN60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post The Washington PostLake Powell Hits Lowest Level On Record As Water Crisis Continues - The New York Times The New York TimesStock Market News, Aug. 17, 2026: 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Fresh High - wsj.com wsj.comRain aids fight against Belgium's biggest wildfire, as blazes rip through Europe - Reuters ReutersCalifornia regulators approve new rules limiting what replacement tires you can buy for your car - KCRA KCRATrump administration briefly pauses contentious border project in Texas' Big Bend National Park - AP News AP NewsRockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today USA TodayFact check: Every single part of this Trump story about South Korea is wrong - CNN CNNTrump threatens to bomb Oman if it ‘gets in the way’ - The Washington Post The Washington PostLindsay Clancy 'had thoughts of harming the children,' her mother testifies in murder trial - WCVB WCVBMeta Stares Down Trillion-Dollar Threat as Landmark Social Media Trial Begins - Bloomberg.com Bloomberg.comLive Coverage: 2026 Pro Farmer Crop Tour kicks off after record rainfall, flooding in eastern Corn Belt - Pro Farmer Pro FarmerApple iPhone 18 Pro Release Date: Discounted Day Re-Enters The September Schedule - Forbes ForbesParamount wants a $1.9 billion bond from state AGs fighting the Warner Bros. merger - CNN CNN
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Crowd intelligence · Tuesday, August 18, 2026

What does the crowd think
will happen?

Real-money odds on the biggest questions in politics, sports, tech, crypto and the economy — tracked over 30 days, with the news that's moving them. No account needed.

No account needed
CFTC-licensed market data
Free · updated hourly

1What you're seeing

Each card is a real question about the future. The percentage is the crowd's odds — the price real traders are paying right now on regulated prediction markets.

2Why trust the crowd

Prediction markets put money behind every forecast. Decades of research show these money-weighted odds often beat pundits and polls.

3How to use it

Scan the biggest questions, watch which way the odds are moving, read the headlines driving them, and track them over weeks.

Top calls today
8 signals
Science · Space
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 32%NO 68%

Italy's Intesa Sanpaolo holds stake in SpaceX worth nearly $1 billion in second quarter - Reuters

View on Polymarket →
Science
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
YES 78%NO 22%

Rockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?
YES 6%NO 94%

Stock Market News, Aug. 17, 2026: 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Fresh High - wsj.com

View on Polymarket →
Economy
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 17 2026?
YES 41%NO 59%

Stock Market News, Aug. 17, 2026: 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Fresh High - wsj.com

View on Polymarket →
Science
Valantis FDV above $300M one day after launch?
YES 14%NO 86%

Rockets launch almost every day in the US. Here's why even more are ahead - USA Today

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
YES 8%NO 92%

60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Entertainment
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
YES 7%NO 93%

Live market signal from the CallitIQ feed.

View on Polymarket →
World · Iran
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?
YES 42%NO 58%

60 days after signing Iran deal, Trump stuck in quagmire as war drags on - The Washington Post

View on Polymarket →
Frequently asked
What is CallitIQ?

CallitIQ shows the crowd's odds on the biggest questions about the future. Each card is a real prediction market — the percentage is the price real traders are paying right now that something will happen, pulled from regulated markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and matched to the news driving it.

How are the odds calculated?

The odds come from real-money prediction markets. When traders buy and sell contracts on whether an event will happen, the market price settles at the crowd's implied probability. CallitIQ reads that price directly — we don't set odds ourselves.

Are prediction markets accurate?

Because every forecast has money behind it, prediction-market odds have a strong track record and frequently outperform pundits and polls. They're not guarantees — they're the best real-time estimate of what a crowd of motivated forecasters believes.

Is this financial or betting advice?

No. CallitIQ is an informational aggregator. Odds are for context only and do not constitute financial, investment, or betting advice.

How often does it update?

The feed refreshes hourly, and each market is tracked over a rolling 30-day window so you can see how the odds move over time.

Do I need an account?

No account, sign-up, or payment is required to browse CallitIQ. It's free to read.

What does a 27% chance mean?

A 27% chance means the market is pricing the yes side near 27 cents on the dollar. It is the crowd's implied probability, not a guarantee.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange available in the United States, subject to eligibility rules and state restrictions.

What is the difference between Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi is a regulated US exchange using dollar-denominated event contracts. Polymarket is crypto-based and is not generally available to US users.

Do you use Quora as a source?

No. Quora can be useful for manual FAQ research, but CallitIQ does not automatically ingest Quora because there is no clean free public API path.