Election odds

Election odds and political prediction markets

Track live crowd forecasts for candidates, primaries, congressional control, policy outcomes, and political events. Cards link directly to the source market when available.

Updated 2026-08-07T16:43:59Z - 8 matching signals
Politics · TrumpPolymarket
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES 0%NO 100%

Sen. Bill Cassidy, a critical Republican holdout, backs Todd Blanche for attorney general - NBC News

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Politics · TrumpPolymarket
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Friday roundtable?
YES 56%NO 44%

Rescuers Battled Extreme Weather Conditions During Medevac Mission in Antarctica - The New York Times

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Politics · HousePolymarket
Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?
YES 5%NO 95%

Sen. Bill Cassidy, a critical Republican holdout, backs Todd Blanche for attorney general - NBC News

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Politics · SenatePolymarket
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES 5%NO 95%

Sen. Bill Cassidy, a critical Republican holdout, backs Todd Blanche for attorney general - NBC News

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Politics · SenatePolymarket
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%

Trump says voters are mad at other Republicans, not him, as midterms approach - Politico

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Politics · HousePolymarket
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?
YES 97%NO 3%

US appeals court blocks Trump’s $400 million White House ballroom project - Reuters

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Politics · SenatePolymarket
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
YES 1%NO 99%

Senate won't vote on crypto Clarity Act before its summer break - CoinDesk

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Politics · ElectionPolymarket
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
YES 3%NO 97%

Sen. Bill Cassidy, a critical Republican holdout, backs Todd Blanche for attorney general - NBC News

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Election Odds FAQ

What questions can election odds answer?

They can answer how the crowd prices candidate wins, party control, nominations, primaries, and political events that polls may not cover directly.

Who is this page for?

CallitIQ serves readers who want probability-first context on politics without sorting through social feeds, pundit clips, or dense market pages.

Are election odds polls?

No. They are market prices from traders, not survey responses.

Frequently asked questions

What are election odds?

Election odds are market-implied probabilities for political outcomes such as candidate wins, party control, primaries, nominations, and policy events.

Are election odds polls?

No. Polls survey voter preferences. Prediction markets reflect prices from traders buying and selling outcome contracts.

How should I read election odds?

Read them as live crowd probabilities, not certainty and not political advice.